Main Point – Situational Leadership

Main Point – Situational Leadership

Write the Main Point on Situational Leadership

  1. What it is?
  2. How it came to be?
  3. Mention the four parts of Situational Leadership, but do not go into depth.
  4. Talk about the skills a good leader needs to be a situational leader etc.

Has to be 3 to 4 pages, double spaced Roman Times font, APA style

Has to have scholarly references (properly cited reference)

Here is links to help get started

https://smallbusiness.chron.com/define-situational-leadership-2976.html

https://online.stu.edu/articles/education/what-is-situational-leadership.aspx (lots of information)

https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/38039602.pdf

10 Situational Leadership Characteristics

https://www.resourcefulmanager.com/guides/successful-leaders/ (Read about Colin Powell)

https://www.cleverism.com/situational-leadership-guide/

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Planned Expenditure by WBS Elem

Planned Expenditure by WBS Elem

Planned Expenditures by WBS Element
Provide expense or cost breakdown for each WBS element by fiscal year and quarter using the expenditure categories below. Balance expenditures at the WBS level with funds available in Section B.
WBS Element Number Fiscal Year and Quarter Internal Staff Labor Services Develop-ment Tools Software Hardware Materials and Supplies Facilities Tele-communi-cations Training Total
1 2019 Q2 2000 2000
1.1 0
1.2 0
0
2 2019 Q2 5350 40730 46080
2.1 0
2.1.2 0
2.2 0
2.2.1 0
0
3 2019 Q2 352781 352781
3.1 0
3.2 0
3.3 0
0
4 2019 Q2 0
4.1 0
4.2 0
0
5 2019 Q2 4000 1000 5000
5.1 0
5.2 0
5.2.1
0
6 2019 Q2 0
6.1 0
6.2 2019 Q3 5000 5000
6.3 2019 Q3 0
0
7 2019 Q3 100 7850 7950
7.1 0
0
8 2019 Q2 0
0
9 2019 Q4 500 500
9.1 0
9.2 0
9.3 0
0
10 2020 Q1 200 150 350
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Porject Spend Plan
Project Spend Plan
IIn the columns below, document the spending plan by category for each quarter of the fiscal year. Derive these estimates, using the tables in Sections C and D, by summing the cost for all WBS elements that occur during a particular quarter of a fiscal year.
Budget Category FY2019_ QTR 1 FY2019_ QTR 2 FY2019_ QTR 3 FY2019_ QTR 4 FY2020_ QTR 1 FY200_ QTR 2 FY200_ QTR 3 FY200_ QTR 4 FY200_ QTR 1 FY200_ QTR 2 FY200_ QTR 3 FY200_ QTR 4 FY200_ QTR 1 FY200_ QTR 2 FY200_ QTR 3 FY200_ QTR 4
Internal Staff Labor 2000 100 200
Services 358131 5000
Development Tools
Software 4000
Hardware 40730 500
Materials and Supplies 7850
Facilities
Telecommunications 1000 150
Training
Contingency (Risk) 5000 5000
410861 17950 500 350
Total
Planned Expenditures
Planned Expenditures ($000)
200_-0_
FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 200_ FY 200_ Total
Internal Staff Labor 2100 200 2300
Services 363131 363131
Development Tools 0
Software 4000 4000
Hardware 41230 41230
Materials and Supplies 7850 7850
Facilities 0
Telecommunications 1000 150 1150
Training 0
Contingency (Risk) 10000 10000
Total 429311 350 0 0 429661
Funding Source
Funding Source ($000)
2019_20
FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 201_ FY 201_ Total Specific Fund Cite, Grant, or Budget Line number.
500000 10000 510000 Company’s PR fund
General Fund
20000 1000 21000 Company’s Special Projects account
Non-General Fund
10000 10000 20000 Sponsored Advertisements
Special Revenue
0
Other
0
Other
530000 21000 0 0 551000

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PK Module Project

PK Module Project

In a paper that is a minimum of 3 pages long, based on your calculations found using the provided templates, what is the total budget for this project? According to this analysis, identify clearly and concisely at least three areas where you see potential cost savings.

For each of these areas of opportunity using your understanding of the project, explain a potential change in plan to reduce costs in the project. When making recommendations for cost reductions how can you ensure these cost reductions are in the best interest of the company, i.e. you aren’t sacrificing quality in order to cut costs.

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investment and a positive association with pay-performance sensitivity.

investment and a positive association with pay-performance sensitivity.

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1699272

Co-opted Boards

Jeffrey L. Colesa, Naveen D. Danielb, Lalitha Naveenc

September 10, 2013

Forthcoming, Review of Financial Studies

Abstract We argue that not all independent directors are equally effective in monitoring top management. Specifically, directors who are appointed by the CEO are likely to have stronger allegiance to the CEO and will be weaker monitors. To examine this hypothesis, we propose and empirically deploy two new measures of board composition. Co-option is the fraction of the board comprised of directors appointed after the sitting CEO assumed office. Consistent with Co- option serving to measure board capture, as Co-option increases board monitoring intensity decreases: turnover-performance sensitivity diminishes; pay level increases but without a commensurate increase in pay-performance sensitivity; and investment in hard assets increases. Further analysis suggests that even independent directors who are co-opted are less effective monitors. Non-Co-opted Independence––the fraction of the board comprised of independent directors who were already on the board before the CEO assumed office––has more explanatory power for monitoring effectiveness than the traditional measure of board independence. JEL Classifications: G32; G34; K22 Keywords: Corporate governance; Board co-option; CEO entrenchment; Board composition; Board independence __________________________________________________ a W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ., 85287, USA, jeffrey.coles@asu.edu bLeBow College of Business, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA., 19104, USA, nav@drexel.edu cFox School of Business, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA., 19122, USA, lnaveen@temple.edu The authors are grateful to an anonymous referee, Renee Adams, Christa Bouwman, Vidhi Chhaochharia, Rachel Diana, Dave Denis, Diane Denis, Ben Hermalin, Yan Li, Antonio Macias, David Maber, John McConnell, Darius Palia, Raghu Rau, David Reeb, Oleg Rytchkov, Partha Sengupta, Mike Weisbach (the editor), Jun Yang, and seminar participants at Case Western Reserve University, Lehigh University, Northeastern University, Purdue University, Rutgers University, the Securities and Exchanges Commission, Villanova University, the 2008 American Financial Association meeting, the 2008 Conference on Corporate Governance and Fraud Prevention at George Mason University, the 2008 Financial Management Association meeting, the 2008 Summer Research Conference at Indian School of Business, the 2010 Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance Conference at the University of Delaware, the 2011 SFS Finance Cavalcade, and the 2011 Finance Down Under Conference at the University of Melbourne for helpful comments.

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1699272

1

  1. Introduction

The board of directors of a corporation is meant to perform the critical functions of

monitoring and advising top management (Mace (1971)). Conventional wisdom holds that

monitoring by the board is more effective when the board consists of majority of independent

directors. The empirical evidence on the connection between board independence and firm

performance, however, is mixed and weak, as is the evidence on the relation between board

independence and other organizational and governance attributes, such as managerial

ownership.1

One potential reason for the paucity of consistent, significant results is that many

directors are co-opted and the board is captured. In practice, CEOs are likely to exert

considerable influence on the selection of all board members, including non-employee directors.

Carl Icahn, activist investor, asserts quite directly (Business Week Online, 11/18/2005) that

“…members of the boards are cronies appointed by the very CEOs they’re supposed to be

watching.” Likewise, Finkelstein and Hambrick (1989) allege that CEOs can co-opt the board

by appointing “sympathetic” new directors. Hwang and Kim (2009) suggest that CEOs favor

appointees who share similar views or social ties or because there is some other basis for

alignment with the CEO.

Reflecting similar concerns about board capture, subsequent to the Sarbanes Oxley Act of

2002 (SOX) NYSE and Nasdaq adopted listing requirements that substantially reduced the direct

influence of the CEO in the nominating process. Nonetheless, CEOs are likely to continue to be

able to exert some influence on the board nomination process. At the very least, they approve

the slate of directors, and this slate is almost always voted in by shareholders (Hermalin and 1 See Coles, Daniel, and Naveen (2008), Adams, Hermalin, and Weisbach (2010), and Coles, Lemmon, and Wang (2011), for example.

2

Weisbach (1998), Cai, Garner, and Walkling (2009)).2

In this paper, we propose and implement two new measures of board composition, which

we term Co-option and Non-Co-opted Independence. Co-option is meant to capture board

capture. Non-Co-opted Independence, on the other hand, is meant to refine the traditional

measure of board independence as a proxy for the monitoring effectiveness of the board.

We define Co-option as the ratio of the number of “co-opted” (or captured) directors,

meaning those appointed after the CEO assumes office, to board size. The idea is that such co-

opted directors, regardless of whether they are classified as independent using traditional

definitions, are more likely to assign their allegiance to the CEO because the CEO was involved

in their initial appointment. Our measure is meant to reflect the additional behavioral latitude

and managerial discretion afforded a CEO when that CEO has significant influence over some

directors on the board. A related interpretation of Co-option is that it captures the disutility to

the board from monitoring the CEO. Along these lines, Hermalin and Weisbach (1998), in their

model of CEO bargaining with the board, specify director utility as a function of, among other

things, a distaste for monitoring (κ in their model), which for a director is reflected in a “… lack

of independence, at least in terms of the way he or she behaves” (p. 101). Co-option can be

thought of as capturing director aversion to monitoring and lack of independence aggregated to

the board level. Intuitively, Co-option reflects what the CEO can get away with.

Co-option ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating greater co-option and board

capture and greater insulation of the CEO from various efficiency pressures. In our sample,

mean Co-option is 0.47, indicating that on average nearly half of the directors on a board joined

the board after the CEO assumed office. 2 Of course, CEO influence on the nomination process is substantially lower in the relatively few instances where directors are put up for election by dissident shareholders in proxy fights.

3

We predict that a CEO who has co-opted a greater fraction of the board will be less likely

to be fired following poor performance, will receive higher pay, will have lower sensitivity of

pay to performance, and will be able to implement preferred or pet projects even if they are

suboptimal from a shareholder-value perspective. Our findings generally are consistent with

these hypotheses.

First, we find that the sensitivity of forced CEO turnover to firm performance decreases

with co-option. For example, our parameter estimates indicate that CEO-turnover-performance

sensitivity is attenuated by about two-thirds for a one-standard-deviation increase in Co-option.

Second, we find that CEO pay levels increase with board co-option. Of course, higher pay being

associated with higher co-option is not symptomatic of entrenchment if it is compensation for

higher risk borne by the CEO through higher pay-performance sensitivity. Additional evidence,

however, suggests that this is not the case: we find that the sensitivity of CEO pay to firm

performance is generally unrelated to board co-option and even is negatively related to co-option

in some specifications. Finally, we find that investment in tangible assets (the ratio of capital

expenditure to assets) increases with co-option. This is consistent with the idea that CEOs who

have co-opted the board can invest in ways they otherwise would not. For example, in the

absence of effective board monitoring, executives are likely to satisfy their preferences for scale

and span of control, preferences that arise in larger firms for reasons of higher compensation,

control over more resources, and enhanced stature in the industry and community (Jensen

(1986)). Overall, the evidence on turnover, pay, and investment is consistent with the idea that

co-option reduces the monitoring effectiveness of the board.

In all specifications we control for the proportion of independent directors on the board

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Forthcoming, Review of Financial Studies

Forthcoming, Review of Financial Studies

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1699272

Co-opted Boards

Jeffrey L. Colesa, Naveen D. Danielb, Lalitha Naveenc

September 10, 2013

Forthcoming, Review of Financial Studies

Abstract We argue that not all independent directors are equally effective in monitoring top management. Specifically, directors who are appointed by the CEO are likely to have stronger allegiance to the CEO and will be weaker monitors. To examine this hypothesis, we propose and empirically deploy two new measures of board composition. Co-option is the fraction of the board comprised of directors appointed after the sitting CEO assumed office. Consistent with Co- option serving to measure board capture, as Co-option increases board monitoring intensity decreases: turnover-performance sensitivity diminishes; pay level increases but without a commensurate increase in pay-performance sensitivity; and investment in hard assets increases. Further analysis suggests that even independent directors who are co-opted are less effective monitors. Non-Co-opted Independence––the fraction of the board comprised of independent directors who were already on the board before the CEO assumed office––has more explanatory power for monitoring effectiveness than the traditional measure of board independence. JEL Classifications: G32; G34; K22 Keywords: Corporate governance; Board co-option; CEO entrenchment; Board composition; Board independence __________________________________________________ a W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ., 85287, USA, jeffrey.coles@asu.edu bLeBow College of Business, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA., 19104, USA, nav@drexel.edu cFox School of Business, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA., 19122, USA, lnaveen@temple.edu The authors are grateful to an anonymous referee, Renee Adams, Christa Bouwman, Vidhi Chhaochharia, Rachel Diana, Dave Denis, Diane Denis, Ben Hermalin, Yan Li, Antonio Macias, David Maber, John McConnell, Darius Palia, Raghu Rau, David Reeb, Oleg Rytchkov, Partha Sengupta, Mike Weisbach (the editor), Jun Yang, and seminar participants at Case Western Reserve University, Lehigh University, Northeastern University, Purdue University, Rutgers University, the Securities and Exchanges Commission, Villanova University, the 2008 American Financial Association meeting, the 2008 Conference on Corporate Governance and Fraud Prevention at George Mason University, the 2008 Financial Management Association meeting, the 2008 Summer Research Conference at Indian School of Business, the 2010 Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance Conference at the University of Delaware, the 2011 SFS Finance Cavalcade, and the 2011 Finance Down Under Conference at the University of Melbourne for helpful comments.

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1699272

1

  1. Introduction

The board of directors of a corporation is meant to perform the critical functions of

monitoring and advising top management (Mace (1971)). Conventional wisdom holds that

monitoring by the board is more effective when the board consists of majority of independent

directors. The empirical evidence on the connection between board independence and firm

performance, however, is mixed and weak, as is the evidence on the relation between board

independence and other organizational and governance attributes, such as managerial

ownership.1

One potential reason for the paucity of consistent, significant results is that many

directors are co-opted and the board is captured. In practice, CEOs are likely to exert

considerable influence on the selection of all board members, including non-employee directors.

Carl Icahn, activist investor, asserts quite directly (Business Week Online, 11/18/2005) that

“…members of the boards are cronies appointed by the very CEOs they’re supposed to be

watching.” Likewise, Finkelstein and Hambrick (1989) allege that CEOs can co-opt the board

by appointing “sympathetic” new directors. Hwang and Kim (2009) suggest that CEOs favor

appointees who share similar views or social ties or because there is some other basis for

alignment with the CEO.

Reflecting similar concerns about board capture, subsequent to the Sarbanes Oxley Act of

2002 (SOX) NYSE and Nasdaq adopted listing requirements that substantially reduced the direct

influence of the CEO in the nominating process. Nonetheless, CEOs are likely to continue to be

able to exert some influence on the board nomination process. At the very least, they approve

the slate of directors, and this slate is almost always voted in by shareholders (Hermalin and 1 See Coles, Daniel, and Naveen (2008), Adams, Hermalin, and Weisbach (2010), and Coles, Lemmon, and Wang (2011), for example.

2

Weisbach (1998), Cai, Garner, and Walkling (2009)).2

In this paper, we propose and implement two new measures of board composition, which

we term Co-option and Non-Co-opted Independence. Co-option is meant to capture board

capture. Non-Co-opted Independence, on the other hand, is meant to refine the traditional

measure of board independence as a proxy for the monitoring effectiveness of the board.

We define Co-option as the ratio of the number of “co-opted” (or captured) directors,

meaning those appointed after the CEO assumes office, to board size. The idea is that such co-

opted directors, regardless of whether they are classified as independent using traditional

definitions, are more likely to assign their allegiance to the CEO because the CEO was involved

in their initial appointment. Our measure is meant to reflect the additional behavioral latitude

and managerial discretion afforded a CEO when that CEO has significant influence over some

directors on the board. A related interpretation of Co-option is that it captures the disutility to

the board from monitoring the CEO. Along these lines, Hermalin and Weisbach (1998), in their

model of CEO bargaining with the board, specify director utility as a function of, among other

things, a distaste for monitoring (κ in their model), which for a director is reflected in a “… lack

of independence, at least in terms of the way he or she behaves” (p. 101). Co-option can be

thought of as capturing director aversion to monitoring and lack of independence aggregated to

the board level. Intuitively, Co-option reflects what the CEO can get away with.

Co-option ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating greater co-option and board

capture and greater insulation of the CEO from various efficiency pressures. In our sample,

mean Co-option is 0.47, indicating that on average nearly half of the directors on a board joined

the board after the CEO assumed office. 2 Of course, CEO influence on the nomination process is substantially lower in the relatively few instances where directors are put up for election by dissident shareholders in proxy fights.

3

We predict that a CEO who has co-opted a greater fraction of the board will be less likely

to be fired following poor performance, will receive higher pay, will have lower sensitivity of

pay to performance, and will be able to implement preferred or pet projects even if they are

suboptimal from a shareholder-value perspective. Our findings generally are consistent with

these hypotheses.

First, we find that the sensitivity of forced CEO turnover to firm performance decreases

with co-option. For example, our parameter estimates indicate that CEO-turnover-performance

sensitivity is attenuated by about two-thirds for a one-standard-deviation increase in Co-option.

Second, we find that CEO pay levels increase with board co-option. Of course, higher pay being

associated with higher co-option is not symptomatic of entrenchment if it is compensation for

higher risk borne by the CEO through higher pay-performance sensitivity. Additional evidence,

however, suggests that this is not the case: we find that the sensitivity of CEO pay to firm

performance is generally unrelated to board co-option and even is negatively related to co-option

in some specifications. Finally, we find that investment in tangible assets (the ratio of capital

expenditure to assets) increases with co-option. This is consistent with the idea that CEOs who

have co-opted the board can invest in ways they otherwise would not. For example, in the

absence of effective board monitoring, executives are likely to satisfy their preferences for scale

and span of control, preferences that arise in larger firms for reasons of higher compensation,

control over more resources, and enhanced stature in the industry and community (Jensen

(1986)). Overall, the evidence on turnover, pay, and investment is consistent with the idea that

co-option reduces the monitoring effectiveness of the board.

In all specifications we control for the proportion of independent directors on the board

4

(Independence), which traditionally has been understood to be a measure of board monitoring.3

We find that Independence has little power to explain CEO turnover-performance-sensitivity,

CEO pay, CEO pay-performance-sensitivity, and investment. If there were a statistical horse

race between Co-option and Independence, Co-option would appear to be more successful.

In light of this result, a natural question is whether independent directors who are co-

opted by the CEO are different in monitoring effectiveness from those who are not co-opted. To

address this question, we calculate the fraction of the board that is comprised of independent

directors appointed after the CEO assumed office (“Co-opted Independence”). Our results using

this measure as an explanatory variable are similar to what we find with Co-option. Specifically,

we find that Co-opted Independence is associated with lower sensitivity of CEO turnover to

performance, higher pay levels, lower sensitivity of pay to performance, and greater investment.

Thus, co-opted independent directors, though independent of the CEO in the conventional and

legal sense, behave as though they are not independent in the function of monitoring

management. This is likely to explain why the literature has not found consistent evidence with

respect to the monitoring effectiveness of independent directors.

To formally test the monitoring effectiveness of independent directors who are not co-

opted, we introduce a second new measure of board composition: Non-Co-opted Independence.

We define this measure as the fraction of the board comprised of independent directors who were

already on the board when the CEO assumed office. In our sample, mean Non-Co-opted

Independence is 0.35, indicating that on average about a third of the board is comprised of

independent directors who are truly independent, having not been co-opted by the CEO. Of

3 See, for example, Weisbach (1988), Byrd and Hickman (1992), Brickley, Coles, and Terry (1994), Dahya, McConnell, and Travlos (2002), Hermalin and Weisbach (2003), Dahya and McConnell (2007), Coles, Daniel, and Naveen (2008), and Dahya, Dimitrov, and McConnell (2008).

5

course, on most issues the board faces, the majority rules, so there is a significant possibility that

the subset of independent directors who are not co-opted is not influential. Nonetheless,

consistent with our conjecture that independent directors who are not co-opted are the monitors

that matter, we find Non-Co-opted Independence is associated with higher sensitivity of CEO

turnover to performance, lower pay levels, higher sensitivity of pay to performance, and lower

investment.

In sum, not all independent directors are equally effective at monitoring. Those who are

co-opted by the CEO are associated with weaker monitoring, while the independent directors

who join the board before the CEO assumes office, that is, the directors who hired the CEO, are

associated with stronger monitoring.

Our results on board capture are robust to two alternative definitions of Co-option. Our

first alternative proxy, Tenure-Weighted Co-option (TW Co-option), accounts for the possibility

that directors appointed by the CEO become even more co-opted through time and that the

influence of co-opted directors increases with their tenure on the board.4 We define TW Co-

option as the sum of the tenure of co-opted directors divided by the total tenure of all directors,

so an increase likely indicates higher board co-option. Our second alternative proxy is designed

to address the possible concern that co-option increases mechanically with CEO tenure and that

our results on co-option may be capturing the effect of CEO tenure. We estimate Residual Co-

option as the residual from a regression of Co-option on CEO tenure. We similarly estimate

Residual TW Co-option as the residual from a regression of TW Co-option on CEO tenure. By

construction, these residual measures are uncorrelated with CEO tenure. We find qualitatively

similar results using these alternative definitions of co-option. 4 Per Nell Minow, quoted in Hymowitz and Green (2013), “What you want from directors is for them to really push the CEO for answers and, just by human nature, that gets harder the longer they’re on a board.”

6

Our results also are robust to our best attempts to address endogeneity. All of our base-

case regressions include firm-fixed effects to control for biases introduced by unobserved, firm-

specific, time-invariant, omitted variables that are correlated with co-option. Endogeneity could

still arise, however, either because the omitted variable is not firm-specific or varies through

time, or because reverse causation runs from our firm policy variables, such as pay, to co-option.

We exploit exchange-rule changes enacted in 2002 to address such concerns. Since these rules

were adopted shortly after the passage of Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX), we refer to the post-rules

period as the post-SOX period. Firms that pre-SOX were not compliant with subsequent listing

requirements to have a majority of independent directors on the board chose to appoint new

independent directors (Linck, Netter, and Yang (2009)), thereby causing an exogenous increase

in board co-option for such firms. To isolate the causal impact of co-option, we apply a

modified difference-in-difference approach. We continue to find results on the effects of co-

option that by-and-large are consistent with the evidence described above.

  1. Motivation, Related Literature, and Hypotheses Development

2.1. CEO turnover-performance sensitivity

One of the key functions of the board is to evaluate the CEO and to replace him if his

performance is poor (Mace (1971)). While early studies find that the likelihood of CEO turnover

decreases in firm performance, subsequent studies suggest that this relation between turnover

and performance is weaker when the firm’s governance is weaker.5 Along similar lines,

Hermalin and Weisbach (2003) suggest that turnover-performance sensitivity is weaker if the

CEO captures the board. This implies that, for a given level of performance, CEOs of firms with 5 See Coughlan and Schmidt (1985), Warner, Watts, and Wruck (1988), Weisbach (1988), Huson, Parrino, and Starks (2001), Kang and Shivdasani (2005), and Kaplan and Minton (2012).

7

more co-opted boards should be less likely to be fired. Thus, we expect that:

H1: All else equal, the sensitivity of forced CEO turnover to firm performance decreases

with co-option. 2.2. CEO pay level

A second important function of the board is to set the structure of CEO pay. Many

studies argue that entrenched CEOs and CEOs of firms with weaker monitoring receive higher

pay (Borokhovich, Brunarski, and Parrino (1997) and Core, Holthausen, and Larcker (1999)).

We extend this reasoning to argue that if co-opted boards are more sympathetic to the CEO, then

CEO pay should increase with co-option. This leads to our second hypothesis:

H2: All else equal, CEO pay level increases with co-option. 2.3. CEO pay-performance sensitivity

Pay contingent on performance is a means to align executive incentives with shareholder

interests (e.g., Jensen and Murphy (1990), Bizjak, Brickley, and Coles (1993)). Thus, we also

examine the impact of co-option on CEO pay-performance sensitivity (PPS or “delta”). Hartzell

and Starks (2003) show that the CEO pay-performance sensitivity is higher when institutions

hold more shares and argue that this is consistent with higher institutional holdings being good

for shareholders. Faleye (2007) finds lower PPS for CEOs of firms with staggered boards and

argues that staggered boards are associated with CEO entrenchment. Thus, we expect that, if co-

option results in lower efficiency pressures on the management team, then pay-performance

sensitivity should decrease in co-option.6

6 Empirically, the papers mentioned in this subsection use varying methodologies to capture PPS. For example, Hartzell and Starks (2003) use PPS from new option grants only as the dependent variable. Coles, Lemmon, and

8

H3: All else equal, CEO pay-performance sensitivity decreases with co-option. 2.4. Investment policy

A long literature addresses managerial incentives to overinvest and to engage in empire

building. Jensen (1986, pg. 323), for example, notes that “growth increases managers’ power by

increasing the resources under their control. It is also associated with increases in managers’

compensation, because changes in compensation are positively related to the growth (see Kevin

Murphy (1985)).” Moreover, scale and span of control can enhance the stature of the CEO in the

industry and community. When the CEO has significant influence over some directors on the

board and, accordingly, is permitted additional behavioral latitude and managerial discretion,

such overinvestment is more likely. All else equal, co-option will be associated positively with

investment.

H4: All else equal, firm investment increases with co-option.

  1. Data and Summary Statistics

We start with the RiskMetrics database, with coverage of directors of S&P 500, S&P

MidCap, and S&P SmallCap firms over the period 1996-2010. RiskMetrics does not provide a

unique firm-level or director-level identifier over the entire time period. In the Appendix we

describe how we associate unique identifiers with each record on RiskMetrics.7 We obtain

Wang (2011) use the pay performance sensitivity derived from the total portfolio of accumulated stock and option holdings net of dispositions. Falaye (2007) uses Aggarwal and Samwick (1999) type regressions of changes in annual pay on dollar returns and interprets the coefficient on dollar returns as PPS. 7 RiskMetrics provides two different director identifiers, neither of which is fully populated for all directors. Between 23 – 27% of director-years have missing identifiers. We combine both to create a unique identifier for all director-year observations. Importantly, if only one of these identifiers is used, it will result in incorrect estimates of

9

compensation data from Execucomp, accounting data from Compustat, and stock return data

from CRSP. We exclude firms incorporated outside the U.S. We define below our key

variables.

3.1. CEO forced turnover

The logic underlying our measure of co-option is most applicable for forced turnover.

Unfortunately, it is difficult to classify turnover as forced or voluntary. Very often, even forced

turnovers are reported to the press as voluntary. Nevertheless, we use an approximate

classification scheme, similar to that used in other papers (such as Denis and Denis (1995)) to

separate turnovers into forced or voluntary. We define Forced Turnover as one if the departing

CEO is less than 60 years old, and zero otherwise.

3.2. CEO pay

Our measure of CEO pay is total annual compensation (Execucomp variable TDC1).

This includes the value of annual stock option grants, salary and bonus, value of annual restricted

stock grants, other annual compensation, long-term incentive payouts, and all other

compensation. We discuss in the Appendix how the changes in compensation reporting

following FAS 123R and new SEC disclosure requirements affect the reporting of pay. We

compute an adjusted pay measure (discussed in more detail in the Appendix) that accounts for

these changes in reporting. Our results are similar using this adjusted pay measure.

3.3. CEO pay-performance sensitivity

Pay-performance sensitivity is estimated as the sensitivity of CEO wealth to stock price,

otherwise termed as CEO delta, based on the entire portfolio of stock and options held by the

CEO. Specifically, the semi-elasticity form of delta is the expected $ change in CEO wealth for board size, independence, co-option etc. Upon request, the authors can provide the unique director identifier that we create as well as the unique firm identifiers (GVKEY and PERMNO) for each record on RiskMetrics.

10

a 1% change in stock price. We calculate delta using the approach of Core and Guay (2002) but

with adjustments to Execucomp data as specified in the Appendix. Also see Coles, Daniel, and

Naveen (2013) for details on data and on calculation of incentive measures in the presence of

changing financial reporting requirements and formats.

3.4. Investment

Our proxy for investment is capital expenditures scaled by book value of assets.

3.5. Co-option

Our principal measure of co-option is based on the number of directors elected after the

CEO takes office. We refer to such directors as “co-opted” directors.

sizeBoard directorsoptedCooptionCo  #

This variable ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating greater co-option.8

In some specifications, we use an alternative measure of co-option, Tenure-weighted Co-

option (TW Co-option), which is the sum of the tenure of co-opted directors divided by the total

tenure of all directors. Thus,

  sizeboard

i i

sizeboard

i ii

Tenure

DummyDirectoroptedCoTenure optionCoTW

1

1

where Co-opted Director Dummyi equals 1 if the director ‘i’ is a co-opted director, and equals 0

otherwise. Tenurei refers to the tenure of the director ‘i’ on the board. This alternative measure

8 In contemporaneous work independent of ours, Morse, Nanda, and Seru (2011) develop a measure of CEO power based on three elements, one of which is similar to our measure of co-option. They show that more powerful CEOs (CEOs who have titles of Chairman, CEO, and President, CEOs of firms with insider-dominated boards, or CEOs with a greater proportion of directors appointed during their tenure) rig their pay contracts by increasing the weights on the better performing measures.

11

accounts for the increase of influence of co-opted directors on board decisions through time, as

such directors work alongside the CEO and previously appointed directors. This measure

assumes that the greater the tenure of co-opted directors, the greater their influence on board

decisions. Again, this measure can vary from 0 to 1, with a higher value indicating greater board

capture.

Our third measure of co-option is Residual Co-option, which is defined as the residual

from a regression of Co-option on CEO tenure. Our final measure of co-option is Residual TW

Co-option, which is the residual from a regression of TW Co-option on CEO tenure. These two

measures remove the positive correlation between CEO tenure and co-option.

For each firm-year, RiskMetrics provides the date of the annual meeting and the slate of

directors up for election. The directors on the slate almost always obtain sufficient support to be

elected (Hermalin and Weisbach (1998) and Cai, Garner, and Walking (2009)). The majority of

the sample firms hold their annual meeting during the first 3 – 4 months of the fiscal year. Thus,

because these directors constitute the board for the majority of the fiscal year, we assign directors

on the slate at the annual meeting in a given fiscal year as the directors for that year.

For CEO turnover events, we are careful to identify the board in place before the CEO

was dismissed since this board is the one responsible for replacing the CEO. Thus the CEO

turnover date relative to the meeting date is important for our purpose. Figure 1 illustrates the

timeline. If a CEO turnover occurred after the annual meeting date, then the board that

determined the replacement was the board elected for that year. That is, turnover and co-option

are measured contemporaneously. If a CEO turnover occurred before the annual meeting date,

then the board responsible for replacing the CEO is the one elected in the previous year so we

use lagged measures of co-option in the turnover regression. In non-turnover years, since both

12

the lagged and contemporaneous boards decide on the CEO’s ‘non-replacement,’ we use the

average of the lagged and contemporaneous values of co-option.

For regressions explaining variation in CEO pay, CEO delta, and investment, we use the

contemporaneous co-option measure, because this is based on the board that is in place for the

majority of the year and also because performance-based pay (which is a significant component

of overall pay) will be decided by the board at the end of the fiscal year.

3.6. Independence

Independence is the ratio of the number of independent directors on the board to total

board size. Independent directors are those who are neither inside nor grey directors (Weisbach

(1988), Byrd and Hickman (1992), Brickley, Coles, and Terry (1994)).

3.7. Summary statistics

Table 1 provides the summary statistics. To minimize the influence of outliers,

throughout the paper we winsorize all variables at the 1st and 99th percentiles.9 The average firm

in the sample is large, with sales of $5.3 billion. This is not surprising given that our sample is

S&P 1500 firms. The average board has about 10 directors. Co-option has a mean value of 0.47,

while mean Independence is 0.69. Thus, on average, although more than two-thirds of the

directors are technically independent, our calculations indicate that nearly half of the board has

been co-opted by the CEO. Average Tenure-Weighted (TW) Co-option is 0.31, implying that

while co-opted directors make up nearly half the board, their influence, after accounting for their

tenure on the board, is a bit lower at 31%. Not surprisingly, Co-option and TW Co-option are

similar, with a correlation of 0.93 (p <0.0001). Co-option and TW Co-option are dissimilar to

board independence (ρ = – 0.07 and ρ = – 0.09 respectively). 9 Our results are similar if we winsorize all variables at the 0.5 and 99.5 percentiles instead. Our results are also similar if we drop the observations in the top and bottom 0.5 percentiles from the analyses.

13

The unconditional rate of forced turnover is 0.025. For comparison, the equivalent

number is 0.019 in Hazarika et al. (2012) (inferred from their Table 1) and is 0.030 in Mobbs

(2012). On average, CEOs receive $4.9 million in total annual compensation, have a delta of

$789,000, and have about 8 years of tenure. On average, investment is 5.2% of total book assets.

  1. Co-option and Monitoring Ineffectiveness: Empirical Results

4.1. Co-option and CEO turnover-performance sensitivity

Our first hypothesis, H1, is that the sensitivity of CEO turnover to performance decreases

with co-option. To test this, we estimate the following logistic regression:

ln[Prob(Forced Turnover)/(1 – Prob(Forced Turnover))] = α0 + α1 Co-option  Performance + α2 Performance + α3 Co-option + α4 Independence + f(Other Controls) + ε1

Our proxy for performance is Prior Abnormal Return. For turnover years, this is

measured as the firm stock return (including dividends) in the year leading up to the actual date

of CEO turnover minus the value-weighted market return over that period. For non-turnover

years, this is measured as the stock return over the previous fiscal year minus the value-weighted

market return over that period. It is well-documented that, in practice, performance is negatively

related to the likelihood of CEO turnover, or that α2 is negative (Weisbach (1988), Warner,

Watts, and Wruck (1988), Parrino (1997), and Kaplan and Minton (2012)). Our hypothesis is

that turnover-performance sensitivity is attenuated by co-option, or that α1 is positive. All

specifications include Independence. Other control variables (Other Controls) include: firm size;

CEO tenure; and governance variables. The governance variables are: CEO ownership; CEO

duality, an indicator variable that equals 1 if the CEO has title of chairman also; outside director

ownership; GIM index, the governance index of Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (2003); board size;

female director, an indicator variable that equals 1 if the firm has a female director on board; and

14

(in some models) terms interacting governance variables with prior performance.10 We include

firm- fixed effects to control for any omitted firm-specific and time-invariant variables that are

correlated with co-option. We include year fixed effects to control for variation in common

influences through time. In general, our control variables are based on those in Adams and

Ferreira (2009), Hwang and Kim (2008), Fich and Shivdasani (2007), and Dittmar and Mahrt-

Smith (2007).

Table 2 reports the results. In Models 1 and 2, the key independent variable is the

interaction term of Co-option with Prior Abnormal Return. For each independent variable, we

report the coefficient estimates (Row 1), z-statistics (Row 2), and the marginal effects (Row 3).

We report the marginal effects because there is no ready economic interpretation of the

coefficients in non-linear regressions. The marginal effect is presented in semi-elasticity form.

For continuous variables, the marginal effect represents the percentage change in the probability

of Forced Turnover for a one unit change in the underlying variable, holding all other variables

at their mean values. For indicator variables, we report the percentage change in the probability

of Forced Turnover when the indicator variable moves from zero to one (holding other variables

at their mean values).11

Consistent with our hypothesis, the coefficient on the interaction term of Co-option and

Prior Abnormal Returns (α1) is positive and statistically significant (= 2.021, z-statistic = 3.4),

indicating that an increase in Co-option is associated with a decrease in the sensitivity of CEO

turnover to firm performance. To estimate the effect of the interaction term, we compute the

10 For the four CEO-related variables, the values correspond to the departing CEO in the year of turnover. Also, we do not include CEO age because Forced Turnover is automatically zero when the CEO is over 60. 11 Ai and Norton (2003) note that interpretation of interacted variables in non-linear models is not straight-forward. Stata (Version 11) has since introduced the margins statement which correctly computes the marginal effects in non- linear models with interaction terms. We use this statement to compute all reported marginal effects.

15

marginal effect of Prior Abnormal Return at two different levels of Co-option: at the mean as

well as mean plus one standard deviation (holding all other variables at their mean values). The

difference indicates how the sensitivity of turnover to performance changes with co-option. As

can be seen in Model 1, the sensitivity of turnover to firm performance decreases by 0.856, from

–1.331 at the mean value of Co-option, to –0.476 when Co-option increases by one standard

deviation from its mean value (for ease of presentation in the table we report only the

difference). In other words, the sensitivity of turnover to performance goes down by almost two-

thirds when Co-option moves by one standard deviation from its mean value. If Co-option

increases even further to the maximum possible value of 1, then the sensitivity of forced turnover

to performance is even smaller (= –0.092; see the last row of Table 2).12 Thus, the results in

Model 1 are consistent with H1. Turnover-performance sensitivity decreases as co-option

increases.

In Model 1, we allow only Co-option to affect the turnover-performance sensitivity (that

is, we include only the interaction term of Co-option with Prior Abnormal Return). In Model 2

we allow all governance-related variables (Independence, CEO ownership, CEO duality, outside

director ownership, GIM index, board size, and female director) to affect the turnover-

performance sensitivity. Two results are worth noting. First, the coefficient on the interaction of

Co-option with Prior Abnormal Return remains significantly positive. Second, Independence

does not appear to have a significant impact on turnover-performance sensitivity. Board co-

option, rather than board independence, has explanatory power for turnover-performance

sensitivity.

12 In the model, α2 represents the effect of Prior Abnormal Return on Forced Turnover when Co-option is zero. When STATA reports the marginal effect of Prior Abnormal Return, however, it reports the total effect of Prior Abnormal Return on Forced Turnover at the mean of all variables.

16

In Models 3 and 4, we use the same specifications as in Models 1 and 2 respectively, but

include TW Co-option rather than Co-option. The estimated coefficient on the interaction of TW

Co-option with Prior Abnormal Return remains significantly positive in both specifications. In

terms of economic significance, the results in Model 3 indicate that when TW Co-option

increases by one standard deviation from its mean value, the sensitivity of turnover to

performance changes from –1.539 to –0.577 (the table reports the difference = 0.962) . The last

row in the table shows that when TW Co-option increases to 1, the sensitivity of turnover to

performance is altered further to 0.213, which is positive. Results from Model 4 are similar.

A potential issue arises because our two co-option measures (Co-option and TW Co-

option) are positively correlated with CEO tenure. Thus, multicollinearity could be a concern.

To address this concern, we replace Co-option with Residual Co-option, which is the residual

from a regression of Co-option on CEO tenure. Model 5 reports the results. The coefficient on

the interaction of Residual Co-option with Prior Abnormal Returns is significantly positive,

indicating that the effect of Co-option on CEO turnover-performance sensitivity documented in

Model 1 is not due to the correlation between Co-option and CEO tenure. Finally, in Model 6,

we replace Co-option with Residual TW Co-option, which is the residual from a regression of

TW Co-option on CEO tenure. Once again, our results are similar to those in Model 3.13

In terms of the other control variables, our results across the various models show that

CEO duality is significantly negatively related to CEO turnover (as in Goyal and Park (2002)).

In contrast, the other governance variables, in general, are not consistently significant across the

13 We also estimate Models 5 and 6 including interactions of all governance variables with prior abnormal returns (as in Models 2 and 4). When we re-estimate Model 6 in this manner, the results are statistically and economically similar to our main results. When we re-estimate Model 5, the results are economically similar but statistically weaker. The sensitivity of turnover to performance decreases from –1.62 at the maximum value of Residual Co- option to –0.26 at the minimum value. The interaction of Residual Co-option with prior abnormal returns is positive, but is insignificant (p = 0.195).

17

various specifications.

The number of observations is much smaller in our turnover regressions because the use

of firm-fixed effects means that firms that never had a forced turnover during the sample period

are excluded from the regression. To ensure that our results are not driven by any sample

selection, we estimate the same regression models without firm-fixed effects, but with industry-

fixed effects, and obtain very similar results for all six specifications on a much larger sample.

In all tables that follow, we report t-statistics based on standard errors adjusted for

heteroskedasticity and clustering at the firm level (Petersen (2009)). This option, however, is not

available for the fixed-effects logistic regression models in Table 2. As a robustness check, we

bootstrap the standard errors using 200 replications. We find qualitatively similar results using

the bootstrap.

Overall, the results indicate that, consistent with H1, turnover-performance sensitivity is

attenuated as measures of board co-option increase.

4.2. Co-option and CEO pay level

Our second hypothesis, H2, predicts that CEO pay increases with co-option. To test this,

we estimate regressions of CEO pay on co-option and controls.

CEO Pay = θ0 + θ1 Co-option + θ2 Independence + g(Other Controls) + ε2. Hypothesis H2 asserts that the coefficient on Co-option (θ1) will be positive. The control

variables, based on prior literature (see Murphy (1999) for a comprehensive review of CEO

compensation), include board independence, firm size, firm performance (both stock and

accounting), CEO tenure, governance variables, and firm and year dummies.14 We do not

14 The results are robust to using industry and year fixed-effects instead.

18

include CEO turnover years and require that the CEO’s tenure be at least one year. This is

because CEO pay in a turnover year is likely to reflect compensation only for part of the year.

Also, CEOs in their first year may receive higher than average stock compensation (to align their

incentives) and higher bonus (including signing bonuses). We use the logarithm of annual

compensation as the dependent variable because compensation data are skewed.15

Table 3 presents the results. In Model 1, the coefficient on Co-option is significantly

positive, implying that CEO pay increases with co-option.16 The coefficient of 0.223 on Co-

option indicates that moving from zero to full co-option would be associated with an increase in

CEO pay of 22.3%. A less extreme measure of economic significance is the change in pay when

Co-option increases by one standard deviation. In this case, we find that CEO pay increases by

7% relative to the mean pay. This corresponds to about $345,380 annually for the CEO.

In Model 2, we use TW Co-option rather than Co-option. As with Co-option, we find that

the coefficient on TW Co-option is significantly positive. Finally, in Models 3 and 4 we use

Residual Co-option and Residual TW Co-option. The results are similar. The coefficients on

both measures are significantly positive, indicating that co-option is associated with higher pay,

and this effect is not driven by the positive correlation between co-option and tenure.

Board independence has no explanatory power for CEO pay in two of the four

specifications. In the other two models, the coefficient on Independence is positive, which is

inconsistent with greater independence leading to better monitoring of rent extraction.17 For the

other control variables, as expected firm size and performance are strongly positively associated 15 We obtain similar results using unlogged compensation. 16 This result is consistent with Core, Holthausen, and Larcker (1999), who, using a sample of 495 firm-years over 1982-1984, find that CEO total pay is positively related to the proportion of the board composed of new outside (both independent and affiliated) directors. 17 As a robustness check, instead of using contemporaneous values of our co-option measures, we also use the average of the contemporaneous and the lagged values, since the lagged board may also be partly responsible for CEO compensation. Our results are robust to this change.

19

with pay. Overall, the evidence is consistent with CEO pay increasing in co-option (H2).

4.3. Co-option and CEO pay-performance sensitivity

Pay-performance-sensitivity –– otherwise known as delta –– is seen as aligning the

incentives of managers with the interests of shareholders. Higher delta can mean that managers

will work harder or more effectively because managers share gains and losses. Thus, we now

examine the influence of co-option on CEO delta. The representative specification is

CEO Pay-Performance Sensitivity = γ0 + γ1 Co-option + γ2 Independence + h(Other Controls) + ε3.

Our control variables are based on the prior literature on the determinants of delta (Core and

Guay (1999) and Coles, Daniel, and Naveen (2006)) and the governance variables used in the

preceding regressions.

Table 4 presents the results. As in Table 3, our independent variables are Co-option

(Model 1), TW Co-option (Model 2), Residual Co-option (Model 3), and Residual TW Co-option

(Model 4). In Models 1 and 3, the estimated coefficients on Co-option and Residual Co-option

are negative (consistent with our hypothesis), but insignificant at conventional levels (p = 0.107

and 0.103 respectively). In Models 2 and 4, the estimated coefficient on TW Co-option and

Residual TW Co-option are negative and significant, albeit at the ten percent level. The

coefficient on Co-option in Model 1 indicates that when Co-option increases by one standard

deviation from its mean, pay-performance sensitivity decreases by 12% from its mean value.

When Co-option increases from zero to one, sensitivity of pay to performance decreases by

$296,485, or by 38% from its mean value.

The coefficient on board independence is negative and significant in Models 1 – 4. This

result, which is similar to the result in Coles, Lemmon, and Wang (2011), suggests that board

monitoring and CEO delta may well be substitutes in organization design.

20

For robustness, as we do with CEO pay, we use the average of the contemporaneous and

the lagged values of the co-option measures instead of the contemporaneous values alone. Also,

we use industry-year fixed effects instead of firm-year fixed effects. The results in both cases

are similar to our base-case result, in that the coefficient on the co-option measures continues to

be negative but insignificant at conventional levels.

In sum, we find weak evidence in support of the hypothesis (H3) that higher co-option is

associated with lower CEO pay-performance sensitivity (PPS). CEO pay and PPS, however,

cannot be viewed as independent of each other. CEOs would demand higher pay if greater risk

is imposed on them in the form of higher PPS. Instead, if anything, co-option is associated with

lower exposure of CEO wealth to risk. Thus our finding that co-option is associated with higher

pay, but similar or even lower PPS, is consistent with co-opted boards adopting more liberal

compensation policies that are favorable to the CEO.

4.4. Co-option and investment

Hypothesis H4 proposes that co-option is positively associated with investment. We

examine this using the following specification:

Investment = μ0 + μ1 Co-option + μ2 Independence + j(Other Controls) + ε4.

The dependent variable is capital expenditure scaled by assets. In addition to board

independence, the other key independent variables are based on Coles, Daniel, and Naveen

(2006) and include vega, delta, cash compensation, CEO tenure, Tobin’s q, firm size, free cash

flow to assets, sales growth, leverage, and stock return.

Table 5 shows the results. In Model 1, we use Co-option as our key variable of interest.

The coefficient on Co-option is positive and statistically significant (= 0.005, p-value = 0.014).

In terms of economic significance, the coefficient indicates that when Co-option increases by one

21

standard deviation, investment increases by 3% relative to the mean. When Co-option increases

from zero to one, investment increases by 10% relative to its mean value.

In Column 2, as the dependent variable we use TW Co-option instead of Co-option. Once

again, the coefficient on TW Co-option is positive and statistically significant. In the last two

columns we use Residual Co-option and Residual TW Co-option respectively. Our results are

similar in sign and significance.

In all specifications, we find that the fraction of independent directors is negatively

associated with investment. The results on the other control variables are consistent with prior

literature. Consistent with Coles et al. (2006), we find the coefficient on vega is negative

(although not significant at conventional levels), and the coefficient on delta is positive. Higher

Tobin’s q and higher free cash flow are associated with more investment.

As with CEO pay and pay-performance sensitivity, we confirm that the results are

qualitatively similar if we use the average of the contemporaneous and the lagged values of the

co-option measures instead of the contemporaneous values alone. When we use industry-year

fixed effects instead of firm-year fixed effects, however, we find that the coefficient on co-option

is not significant.

Overall, the results in this subsection support the hypothesis that CEOs that have captured

the board to a greater extent are able to invest more than otherwise would have been the case. At

this juncture, based on our results, we are unable to discern whether such investment, which

likely increases firm size and the economic span of control of top management, is necessarily

inconsistent with shareholder interests. On this question, however, in separate, independently

developed work, Pan, Wang, and Weisbach (2013) document that investment increases with the

extent of CEO control of the board, as proxied by a measure of co-option similar to ours. They

22

also find that the quality of investment (captured by the market reaction to acquisition

announcements) deteriorates over the CEO’s tenure and that this deterioration is related to the

CEO’s control of the board. Thus, the relation we document between CEO investment and Co-

option potentially arises because (Pan et al. (2013, abstract)) “… the CEO overinvests when he

gains more control over his board.”

  1. Endogeneity

Endogeneity is an important concern in any study on corporate governance (Coles,

Lemmon, and Wang (2011)). In particular, it is possible that both co-option and pay are high

due to an unobserved (and hence omitted) variable. Since we include firm-fixed effects in all our

specifications, we control for omitted variables that are firm-specific and time-invariant. If the

omitted variable is time-varying or not firm-specific, however, and is correlated with co-option,

this would cause the error term in the outcome equation to be correlated with co-option,

rendering OLS invalid. Another source of endogeneity is that both co-option and our variables

of interests, such as pay, are determined in equilibrium simultaneously. One solution would be a

valid instrument for the endogenous variable (Co-option). It is difficult, however, to find an

instrument that is related to co-option, but is not related to CEO pay or the other outcomes we

examine. As an alternative to firm-fixed-effects specifications, we turn to a natural experiment

to help us address endogeneity concerns.

We exploit the rules enacted in 2002 by the Nasdaq and NYSE, requiring all listed firms

to have a majority of independent directors on their board.18 Since these rules were adopted

shortly after the passage of SOX, we refer to the period following the proposal of the new stock 18 A detailed timeline is available in Chhaochharia and Grinstein (2007).

23

exchange rules (2002–2010) as the post-SOX period. Pre-SOX non-compliant firms were

required to increase board independence after implementation of the new listing requirements,

and these firms chose to add new independent directors onto the board (Linck, Netter, and Yang

(2009)). This resulted in an exogenous increase in co-option.19

To isolate the causal impact of co-option, we modify somewhat the Bertrand and

Mullainathan (2003) difference-in-difference (DID) methodology. The key difference is that we

allow for the possibility that SOX and associated exchange provisions have a direct effect on

turnover-performance-sensitivity, pay, pay-performance-sensitivity, and investment, as well as

an effect through co-option. This is because other regulations and political pressure arising from

SOX were likely to have affected monitoring through numerous channels.20 For example, under

SOX and the associated exchange provisions: complete independence was mandated for the

compensation, audit, and monitoring committees; a director with financial expertise was required

on the audit committee; in addition to their regular sessions, boards were required to meet

without management; CEO/CFO certification of accounting statements was required; and there

was a general increase in media scrutiny of all firms.

Because of this complication, we modify the typical DID setup to isolate the effect of co-

option (we term this the “clean” effect). The typical DID set up for examining pay, for example,

would be to regress pay on three dummy variables: Post-SOX, Non-Compliant, and the

interaction term Post-SOX × Non-Compliant, where Post-SOX is an indicator variable that

equals 1 if the year is 2002 or later, and equals 0 otherwise, and Non-Compliant is an indicator

variable that equals 1 if the firm was not in compliance in 2001, and equals 0 otherwise. Co-

19 We are particularly grateful to the referee for suggesting this specific line of attack and for shaping some of the other aspects of our approach to ameliorating endogeneity concerns. 20 Indicative evidence on the effects of SOX on pay and turnover is presented in Chhaochharia and Grinstein (2007), Carter, Lynch, and Zechman (2009), and Kaplan and Minton (2012).

24

option is not included in the above specification, and the focus is on the coefficient on Post-SOX

× Non-Compliant. This coefficient, however, captures both the effect we want to isolate

(through the exogenous shock to co-option) and direct effect (through other channels) of SOX.

To assess the impact of co-option, we estimate the modified regression, which includes Co-

option and the interaction of Co-option with the three dummy variables:

Pay = β0 + β1 Co-option + β2 Post-SOX  Co-option + β3 Non-Compliant  Co-option + β4 Post-SOX  Non-Compliant  Co-option + β5 Post-SOX + β6 Non-Compliant + k(Other Controls) + ε5

The controls in the specification include the independent variables used in the pay regressions in

Table 3 and the individual dummies, as well as the interactions of all the independent variables

with the three key dummy variables: Post-SOX, Non-Compliant, and Post-SOX × Non-

Compliant.

Panel A of Table 6 provides an estimate of the sensitivity of pay to co-option for the four

subsamples of firms: compliant firms in the pre-SOX period, non-compliant firms in the pre-

SOX period, compliant firms in the post-SOX period, and non-compliant firms in the post-SOX

period. The effects are estimated by taking the partial derivative of Pay with respect to Co-

option in the equation above. As can be seen from the table, β1 and β1+β3 represent the

sensitivities for compliant and non-compliant firms respectively in the pre-SOX period. Both

sensitivities include the bias due to endogeneity. The sensitivity of Pay to Co-option for

compliant firms in the post-SOX period is given by β1 + β2 and this includes not only the effect

of bias but, in addition, the direct effects of SOX. The sensitivities for firms in all three groups

are subject to bias due to the standard set of reasons that give rise to the endogeneity problem.

We allow this bias to differ by whether the firm was compliant (superscript C) or not compliant

(superscript NC) pre-SOX, though we do restrict BiasC to be the same both pre- and post-SOX.

25

The subsample of primary interest is the non-compliant post-SOX group. This group

contains firms facing the exogenous shock to co-option. The sensitivity for this subsample (= β1

  • β2 + β3 + β4) is contaminated by the SOX effects through channels other than co-option, and

thus represents the combined effect of both co-option and SOX on the variable of interest (=

“Clean + SOX”). As can be seen from the table, the typical DID estimate reported in the lower

right cell (β4) does not yield the clean estimate, but rather the negative of BiasNC. The “clean”

estimate, arising from the exogenous increase in co-option, forced on noncompliant firms

through a mandated increase in board independence, is given by β1 + β3 + β4.

Panel B of Table 6 provides the results. For brevity, we present only the clean estimates

for the total impact of co-option on each of the four variables of interest (turnover-performance

sensitivity, pay, pay-performance sensitivity, and investment). For ease of comparison, we

report results from the base-case regressions (Model 1 of Tables 2–5). In terms of the notation in

the regression specifications defined above, we report clean estimates of α1, θ1, γ1, and μ1.

For turnover and pay level, relative to the base case the estimates based on an exogenous

shock to co-option have the same sign and similar (though not quite as strong) statistical

significance. The clean estimate pertaining to the effect of co-option on CEO PPS, like that in

the base case, is statistically insignificant. The clean effect of co-option on investment policy is

still positive, but statistically weaker (t-statistic = 1.0 versus 2.5) than the estimated coefficient

from the base case.

  1. Are All Independent Directors Equally Relevant for Board Monitoring?

In this section, we examine whether monitoring effectiveness of directors varies

depending on whether or not they are independent and by whether or not they are co-opted.

6.1. Co-option: independent versus non-independent directors

26

Our results thus far indicate that board capture is associated with weaker monitoring.

The measures of co-option used above, however, do not differentiate between directors who are

independent versus those that are not. Indeed, the notion that employee and affiliated directors

are co-opted is the basis for using board independence as a measure of monitoring in the first

place (e.g., Weisbach (1988) and Byrd and Hickman (1992)). The question remains as to

whether co-option blunts the monitoring effectiveness of independent directors. If we find that

co-opted directors who are independent are also weak monitors, then it would suggest that the

independence measure traditionally used in the literature does not capture the disposition of the

board to provide effective oversight and monitoring and can be improved. To examine this

question, we further refine Co-option. Co-opted Independence is defined as the proportion of the

board that consists of co-opted directors who are independent, while Co-opted Non-

Independence is defined as the proportion of the board that consists of co-opted directors who

are not independent. These two measures differentiate between directors who are employees or

affiliated versus those who are supposedly independent.

Table 7 documents the results. In Panel A, for ease of comparison, we reproduce our

base-case results on Co-option (Model 1 of Tables 2 – 5). We report the coefficients and

associated t-statistics only for our primary variables. Panels B and C report our results wherein

we replace Co-option by Co-opted Independence and Co-opted Non-Independence respectively.

In Panel B, we find that Co-opted Independence is associated with attenuated turnover-

performance sensitivity, higher pay, lower CEO delta, and higher investment. Per Panel C, Co-

opted Non-Independence is associated with attenuated turnover-performance sensitivity and

higher investment, but has no effect on pay or pay-performance sensitivity. Thus, our overall

results on co-option appear to be driven by independent co-opted directors, rather than by non-

27

independent co-opted directors. We conclude that, once a director is co-opted, the independence

of the director does not matter from a monitoring perspective. This likely explains why the

literature has found little uniform evidence on the relation between board independence and

various measures of firm performance and structure.

6.2. Independence: co-opted versus non-co-opted directors

Our results to this point suggest that: (i) independent directors typically do not have an

effect on monitoring effectiveness in the presence of co-option (Tables 2 – 5), and (ii) co-opted

directors, even those that are independent, are weak monitors (Table 7). It is likely, therefore,

that only independent directors who are not co-opted by the CEO are effective monitors. To test

this formally, we introduce a second new measure of board composition, Non-Co-opted

Independence. We define this as the proportion of the board that consists of independent

directors who were already on the board when the CEO assumed office.

Panel A of Table 8 depicts the overlap and dissimilarity between our measures of co-

option and independence. As can be seen, the sum of Co-opted Independence and Co-opted

Non-Independence equals Co-option, while the sum of Co-opted Independence and Non-Co-

opted Independence equals Independence.

Figure 2 plots how the various board composition measures described above change over

CEO tenure. As expected, Co-option increases with CEO tenure. This is because in each

director election cycle the CEO has the opportunity to affect the nomination of directors to the

board. Independence, however, remains more or less constant (at around 69% in our sample).

Thus, while on the surface it appears that board independence is high, the composition of the

board as represented by co-option gradually tilts in the CEO’s favor over time. Further, a closer

look at the two components of Independence indicates that as CEO tenure increases, Co-opted

28

Independence increases while Non-Co-opted Independence decreases. This arises as the CEO

replaces previously appointed independent with new independent directors. This suggests that

the monitoring effectiveness of the board weakens over the CEO’s tenure. We explore this issue

by estimating our base-case regressions with both Co-option and Independence replaced by Non-

Co-opted Independence as the key dependent variable.

Panel B of Table 8 reports the results. Consistent with the idea that independent directors

who are not co-opted are better monitors, we find Non-Co-opted Independence is associated with

higher sensitivity of CEO turnover to performance, lower pay levels, higher sensitivity of pay to

performance, and lower investment.

Overall, these results are consistent with non-co-opted directors being effective monitors.

Moreover, it appears that not all independent directors are the same. Differentiating among

independent directors by whether or not they are co-opted appears to be a more incisive way to

explain monitoring intensity of the board. Independent directors whose selection was influenced

by the CEO appear to be more sympathetic to the CEO. On the other hand, non-co-opted

independent directors appear to be effective monitors. Relative to aggregate board

independence, the representation of non-co-opted independent directors on the board appears to

be a sharper measure of monitoring effectiveness.

  1. Alternative Interpretations and Other Robustness Checks

7.1. Is Co-option capturing the effect of CEO tenure?

Figure 2 shows that Co-option increases over the CEO’s tenure. It is likely that CEO

power increases with tenure (e.g., see Weisbach (1988) and Ryan and Wiggins (2004)). Thus,

CEO tenure may be correlated with both power and Co-option and it is possible that our results

29

on the effect of co-option are due to the positive association between co-option and CEO tenure.

We perform three tests and conclude that CEO tenure is not causing our results.

First, our base case specifications include CEO tenure as an additional control variable in

all our regression specifications. Thus the effect of co-option that we document earlier is after

controlling for CEO tenure.

Second, in the specifications in Tables 2 – 5 (Model 1), instead of Co-option, we use

Residual Co-option, which is the residual from a regression of Co-option on CEO tenure. The

residual now no longer proxies for power arising from tenure but is a proxy for power related to

co-option of the board. We find that all results on Residual Co-option are similar to our results

on Co-option.21

Third, we drop Co-option from all specifications and use only tenure as our measure of

the CEO’s power over the board. If it is true that our results on Co-option somehow obtain only

because of the positive correlation between tenure and Co-option, and do not reflect the true

effect of board capture, then when we drop Co-option from the regressions, our results on tenure

should be similar to what we reported earlier with Co-option. That is, we should find that tenure

decreases CEO turnover-performance sensitivity, increases CEO pay, decreases CEO pay-

performance sensitivity, and increases investment. The results, however, are not supportive of

the idea that co-option is only capturing the effect of CEO tenure on monitoring.22 We find that

CEO tenure has a positive effect on turnover-performance sensitivity, similar to the effect of co-

option. In contrast to the effect of co-option, however, CEO tenure has no effect on pay or

21 The results are similar when we use Residual TW Co-option (the residual from a regression of TW Co-option on CEO tenure) instead. 22 In the interests of conciseness, we do not tabulate the results here or below. All results are available from the authors on request.

30

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Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors?

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors?

THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXI, NO. 2 • APRIL 2006

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors?

ELIEZER M. FICH and ANIL SHIVDASANI∗

ABSTRACT

Firms with busy boards, those in which a majority of outside directors hold three or more directorships, are associated with weak corporate governance. These firms ex- hibit lower market-to-book ratios, weaker profitability, and lower sensitivity of CEO turnover to firm performance. Independent but busy boards display CEO turnover- performance sensitivities indistinguishable from those of inside-dominated boards. Departures of busy outside directors generate positive abnormal returns (ARs). When directors become busy as a result of acquiring an additional directorship, other com- panies in which they hold board seats experience negative ARs. Busy outside directors are more likely to depart boards following poor performance.

ON DECEMBER 28, 2000, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL reported that Elaine L. Chao would be a nominee for President-elect George W. Bush’s cabinet.1 Only a few days prior to Ms. Chao’s confirmation as labor secretary, another Journal article described a growing trend among firms to limit the number of board seats their directors sit on because serving on too many boards may be detrimental to the quality of corporate governance. Coincidentally, this article also featured Ms. Chao as one of the 10 busiest directors among large U.S. corporations.2 As expected, upon her cabinet confirmation, Ms. Chao resigned her directorships at C.R. Bard, Clorox, Columbia/HCA Healthcare, Dole Foods, Northwest Airlines, and Protective Life.

Ms. Chao’s cabinet appointment permits a case study analysis of the increas- ingly popular notion among shareholder activists, institutional investors, regu- lators, and many corporations that serving on several boards causes directors to be busy, rendering them ineffective monitors of corporate management. Using standard event study methodology, we find that Ms. Chao’s impending depar- ture from the six boards in which she served as an outside director was viewed enthusiastically by investors. Table I shows that the mean 2-day cumulative

∗Fich is with Drexel University and Shivdasani is with the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. The paper benefited from comments by participants at the 2005 American Finance Association meetings, the 2004 Financial Research Association conference, and by seminar partic- ipants at Drexel, INSEAD, Seton Hall, North Carolina State, University of North Carolina, and Universidade Catolica de Portugal. The authors thank Anup Agrawal, Stuart Gillan, Bill Greene, Naveen Khanna, Robert Stambaugh, David Yermack, and an anonymous referee for helpful sugges- tions. The authors acknowledge financial support from the Wachovia Center for Corporate Finance.

1 Cummings, Jeanne, and Greg Jaffe (2000), A floated name for cabinet lands with a thud, Wall Street Journal, Eastern Edition, December 28, A12.

2 Lublin, Joann S. (2001), Multiple seats of power—Companies are cracking down on number of directorships board members can hold, Wall Street Journal, January 23, B1.

689

690 The Journal of Finance

Table I Investor Reaction to Elaine Chao’s Cabinet Nomination

Two-day cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) for the firms in which Elaine L. Chao served as an outside director. CARs are computed for all firms around December 28, 2000 (day “0”), the day when the Wall Street Journal first announced that Elaine L. Chao would join President-elect George W. Bush’s cabinet. The sample includes the following firms: C.R. Bard, Clorox, Columbia/HCA Healthcare, Dole Food, Northwest Airlines, and Protective Life. Following her confirmation as secretary of labor, Ms. Chao resigned her directorships in these firms. We report t-statistics and Wilcoxon rank Z-statistics using a two-tailed test for significance.

Mean Positive: Median Returns Days N Return t-Statistic Negative Return Wilcoxon Z

Raw return (−1+0) 6 5.24% 1.99 6:0 4.49% 2.22 Cumulative abnormal (−1+0) 6 3.80% 2.22 6:0 3.05% 1.81

return (CAR)

abnormal return (CAR) is 3.8% (t-statistic = 2.2) and the median CAR is 3.05% (Wilcoxon Z = 1.8). All six firms in the study elicit positive investor reactions at announcement.3

While illustrative, this case study evidence is subject to a number of caveats. Investors might expect the six firms, whose boards Ms. Chao vacated, to benefit from her new political influence. Investors may also reassess the quality of the remaining board members due to a “halo effect” surrounding her nomination. Even if the stock price effect reflects the departure of a busy director, it is likely that the magnitude of this effect is exaggerated due to her status as one of America’s busiest directors. Nonetheless, the evidence is suggestive of a negative impact of busy directors on firm value. Whether this effect holds in a systematic fashion across a broad sample of firms is the focus of this paper.

There is a growing literature that shows that serving on multiple boards can be a source of both valuable experience and reputational benefits for outside di- rectors. Fama and Jensen (1983) note that reputational effects can be important incentives for outside directors. However, there is comparatively little evidence on the costs associated with serving on multiple boards, and the prior research on this topic is inconclusive. Beasley (1996) reports that the probability of com- mitting accounting fraud is positively related to the average number of direc- torships held by outside directors. Core, Holthausen, and Larcker (1999) report that busy directors set excessively high levels of CEO compensation, which in turn leads to poor firm performance. In contrast, Ferris, Jagannathan, and Pritchard (2003) find no relation between the average number of directorships held by outside directors and the firm’s market-to-book ratio.

We extend this literature along several dimensions. We show that inferences on whether multiple board seats held by directors affect firm performance are

3 We check for whether other news events might explain the observed abnormal returns. How- ever, a Lexis-Nexis search around the announcement date fails to uncover release of other signifi- cant corporate news.

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 691

sensitive to how one identifies busy directors. Using measures of the frac- tion of outside directors that are busy, we find that busy boards display pat- terns associated with weaker corporate governance. Our findings differ from those reported by Ferris et al. (2003), who claim that busy boards are as ef- fective as nonbusy boards at monitoring. We argue that their methodolog- ical choices and econometric specification lead to low statistical power for detecting the relation that we document between performance and busy outside directors.

Our base case results use the market-to-book ratio as a measure of firm performance. Given the long tradition of using the market-to-book ratio in this context, this specification enables us to directly compare our findings with prior studies. However, we are sensitive to the concern that market-to-book ratio models may be misspecified, since this measure has a number of alternative interpretations. As a proxy for a firm’s marginal Q ratio, market-to-book ratio also measures a firm’s incentive to invest. In addition, this ratio is also used as a systematic risk factor (Fama and French (1992)). To alleviate these concerns, we supplement our analysis with a number of additional tests that are relatively immune to the specification issues that arise in regressions using the market- to-book ratio.

Our results show that firms in which a majority of outside directors hold three or more board seats have significantly lower market-to-book ratios than firms in which a majority of outside directors hold fewer than three board seats; the magnitude of this effect is economically meaningful. The negative relation between market-to-book ratios and busy outside directors is robust to a wide range of sensitivity tests. We conduct tests to examine the poten- tial endogeneity of busy outside directors with respect to firm performance. Using data on director appointments and departures, we are unable to de- tect any pattern indicating that poor firm performance influences board com- position in a manner that causes a board’s outside directors to become more busy.

As an alternative to using market-to-book ratios, we examine the effect of busy boards on measures of accounting performance. Using panel data regres- sions, we also find that an inverse relation holds between several accounting- based measures of operating performance and a majority of busy outside directors on the board.

Additional evidence that boards dominated by busy outside directors con- tribute to weaker corporate governance comes from an analysis of forced CEO turnover in our sample. We show that boards in which the majority of out- side directors hold three or more directorships are less likely to remove a CEO for poor performance. Consistent with prior research, we find that outside- dominated boards are more likely to remove CEOs for poor performance than inside-dominated boards. However, our results suggest that a significant re- lation between turnover and performance holds only when a majority of out- side directors on the board are not regarded as busy. Our tests reveal that forced CEO turnover is insensitive to firm performance when the majority of outside directors are busy, even if the board is dominated by outside directors.

692 The Journal of Finance

Therefore, the extent to which outside directors are busy appears to be an impor- tant determinant of the effectiveness of outside-dominated boards in corporate governance.

Another piece of evidence comes from analysis of announcements of outside director departures in our broader sample. Similar to the case study evidence for Ms. Chao, abnormal returns (ARs) related to departure announcements of busy outside directors are significantly positive. Indeed, these returns are sig- nificantly higher than the ARs for departures of nonbusy outside directors. In addition, the results also indicate that departures of busy outside directors are viewed particularly favorably when a majority of the remaining outside direc- tors on the board is not busy. Finally, we examine how stock prices respond when an incumbent director acquires an additional board seat. We find that when directors become busy as a result of obtaining a new board seat, stock prices tend to drop for the firms in which they are incumbent directors. More- over, we also find that the decrease in stock price tends to be greater for firms in which the appointment causes the majority of the board’s outside directors to be reclassified as busy.

Collectively, our results indicate that when a majority of outside directors are busy, firm performance suffers. At the same time, substantial evidence from prior studies suggests that the number of board seats held by directors is related to their performance as monitors and is correlated to their reputational capital. Ferris et al. (2003) find that the first appointment of a busy director to a board is good news for shareholders, implying that the enhanced experience or reputation of such directors is beneficial. However, our results suggest that there is also a cost to holding numerous board seats. As the number of outside directors sitting on multiple boards increases, boards are inclined to become distracted and monitoring intensity is likely to suffer. Therefore, our results imply that it may not be optimal for firms to select directors primarily based on the number of other boards they sit on, since this may lead to an overcommitted board.

Our results should not be interpreted as endorsing the recent efforts of in- stitutional investors and corporate governance policy advocates in curbing the directorships held by outside directors for at least two reasons. First, there is substantial evidence that outside directorships tend to be correlated with a director’s reputational capital and that the market for outside directorships provides an important source of incentives for outside directors to serve as monitors. Therefore, attempts to limit the number of outside directorships may reduce the strength of the incentives for some outside directors to engage in effective corporate governance. Second, our results relate primarily to the costs faced by firms that appoint busy outside directors—we are silent on the bene- fits that appointing companies might obtain when their executives join other boards as outside directors. Recent work by Perry and Peyer (2005) shows that sending firms benefit when their executives receive additional directorships, if measures of agency costs in these firms are relatively low. While our paper points to the potential benefits of limiting the number of board seats held by outside directors, policy recommendations on this issue should also incorporate

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 693

the expected costs of curtailed director incentives and those borne by sending firms.

Our paper proceeds as follows. Section I reviews the relevant literature and formulates our research questions. Section II describes our sample. Section III studies whether busy boards affect firm performance. Section IV details our empirical tests on appointments and departures of outside directors. Section V investigates whether busy boards play a role during events of CEO turnover. Section VI analyzes investor reactions related to the departure of busy outside directors and also provides evidence on the impact of additional board seats on firms in which the director serves as an incumbent outside director. Section VII concludes.

I. Prior Literature on Directorships

Fama (1980) and Fama and Jensen (1983) argue that the market for outside directorships serves as an important source of incentives for outside directors to develop reputations as monitoring specialists. Mace (1986) suggests that out- side directorships are perceived to be valuable because they provide executives with prestige, visibility, and commercial contacts.

Support for the reputational capital view of directorships comes from sev- eral studies which show that the number of boards that outside directors sit on is tied to the performance of the firms in which these directors are incum- bents, either as CEOs or as outside directors. This pattern is documented for financially distressed companies (Gilson (1990)), for firms that cut dividends (Kaplan and Reishus (1990)) and opt out of stringent state antitakeover provi- sions (Coles and Hoi (2003)), for companies that fire their CEOs (Farrell and Whidbee (2000)), for firms that are sold (Harford (2003)), for CEOs following retirement (Brickley, Linck, and Coles (1999)), as well as for broad samples of firms (Yermack (2004)). Accordingly, several studies use the number of board seats held by an outside director as a proxy for the director’s reputation in the external labor market (Shivdasani (1993), Vafeas (1999), Brown and Maloney (1999)).

While the number of directorships appears to be closely linked to di- rectors’ reputational capital, other studies suggest that too many director- ships may lower the effectiveness of outside directors as corporate monitors (see, e.g., Core et al. (1999), Shivdasani and Yermack (1999)). Core et al. (1999) find that busy outside directors provide CEOs with excessive compen- sation packages, which in turn leads to weaker firm performance. Consis- tent with such a view, the National Association of Corporate Directors and the Council for Institutional Investors have adopted resolutions calling for limits on the number of directorships held by directors of publicly traded companies.4

4 See the Report of the National Association of Corporate Directors Blue Ribbon Commission on Director Professionalism (1996), and the Core Policies, Positions and Explanatory Notes from the Council of Institutional Investors (1998).

694 The Journal of Finance

Ferris et al. (2003) test whether multiple board appointments by directors harm firm performance. They fail to detect any evidence of a systematic relation between the market-to-book ratio and the average number of board seats held by directors; they conclude that proposals calling for limits on multiple board appointments are misguided. However, several aspects of their research design prevent them from detecting the relation that we document between multiple directorships and firm performance.

First, market-to-book ratio can measure both the value added by manage- ment as well as the value of intangible assets such as future investment opportunities. Ferris et al. (2003) estimate cross-sectional regressions of the market-to-book ratio on director attributes but their regressions do not con- trol for growth opportunities, which confounds the interpretation of their results.

Second, unlike Ferris et al. (2003) who estimate a cross-sectional model using 1995 data, we analyze panel data using fixed effects regressions. The fixed effects approach is robust to the presence of omitted firm-specific variables that would lead to biased estimates in an ordinary least squares (OLS) framework. Given the high correlation between the market-to-book ratio and corporate governance variables with numerous other company attributes, we view the fixed effects framework as offering significantly more reliable estimates than OLS regressions.5

A third distinction between our paper and Ferris et al.’s (2003) is in the iden- tification of busy boards. They employ four measures to capture busy boards— three of these focus on directorships held by both inside and outside directors, while only one relates specifically to outside directors. To measure busy out- side directors, they calculate the average number of board seats held by outside directors. Our variables, however, focus exclusively on whether outside direc- tors are busy under the premise that inside and gray directors sit on the board for reasons other than the monitoring of management. Further, as we describe below, there is wide dispersion in the number of board seats held by outside di- rectors, thereby making the average number of directorships a noisy measure of whether outside directors as a group are busy. We therefore employ an alter- native metric that treats boards as busy if a majority of the outside directors sit on three or more boards.

Our paper is complementary to recent work by Perry and Peyer (2005) who examine announcement effects of outside director appointments for sending firms. They find that when executives join other boards as outside directors, the announcement return for the sending firm is positive when the executive has high stock ownership or the firm has an independent board. They argue that when executives have strong incentives to enhance shareholder value, accumulation of board seats by these executives has a positive impact on firm value.

5 Ferris et al. (2003) also use the average return on assets (ROA) over 1993 to 1995 as a measure of performance. As with their market-to-book ratio regressions, the ROA specifications do not control for firm-specific effects.

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 695

In sum, there is substantial evidence supporting the view that outside di- rectorships serve as a measure of a director’s reputational capital. However, there is disagreement on whether sitting on numerous boards detracts from the ability of outside directors to perform as effective monitors. Our tests are designed to address the question of whether directors that serve on nu- merous boards tend to contribute to weaker corporate governance at these firms.

II. Sample and Data

A. Sample Selection

Our sample consists of firms that appear in the 1992 Forbes 500 lists of largest corporations based on assets, sales, market capitalization, or net income during the 7-year period from 1989 to 1995. We impose three screening criteria. First, we require that each company in the sample has at least 2 consecutive years of financial data available from the Center for Research in Security Prices and from Compustat. Second, relevant Securities and Exchange Commission filings have to be available on the Edgar data retrieval system. Third, utility and financial companies are excluded from the sample since regulatory effects may lead to a more limited role for their boards of directors. These criteria yield a final sample of 3,366 observations for 508 industrial companies across the 7 years.

For each firm, we collect data on corporate governance variables from proxy statements filed for each company during the sample period. Each director is classified according to his/her principal occupation. Full-time employees of the firm are designated as insiders. Directors associated with the company, former employees, those with existing family or commercial ties with the firm other than their directorship, or those with interlocking directorships with the CEO are designated as “gray.” Directors that do not fit the description for inside or gray directors are classified as outside directors. We categorize boards as being interlocked if the CEO sits on the board of an outside director.

Descriptive statistics for key variables for the 508 companies are presented in Panel A of Table II. On average, outside directors hold 3.11 directorships (the median is 2.89). We count directorships held in all publicly traded firms but do not consider directorships held in nonpublic firms, not-for-profit and charitable organizations, trusts, and associations.

We consider outside directors busy if they serve on three or more boards. Al- though the three-directorship criterion is admittedly somewhat arbitrary, we choose this cutoff for several reasons. First, the mean and median number of directorships in the sample is close to three, resulting in a roughly even split between busy and nonbusy outside directors. Second, it reflects the recommen- dation by the Council for Institutional Investors that directors should sit on no more than two boards. Finally, our definition is consistent with prior work by Core et al. (1999) and Ferris et al. (2003) who also use the three-directorship benchmark for classifying executives as busy.

696 The Journal of Finance

Using this definition, 52% of the outside directors in the sample are classified as busy. Perry and Peyer (2005) report a comparable frequency of busy outside directors in their sample. To measure the prevalence of busy outside directors on the board, we construct a (0, 1) indicator that takes the value of one if 50% or

Table II Data Description

Panel A provides descriptive statistics for characteristics of our sample firms. The sample consists of 3,366 annual observations for 508 companies between 1989 and 1995. Companies are included in the sample if they are listed by Forbes magazine as one of the largest U.S. public corporations in its 1992 survey of the 500 largest U.S. public companies in any of the categories of market capital- ization, sales, net income, or assets. The sample excludes private, utility, and financial companies. The table presents the mean, median, and SD for each variable, as well as the Spearman sample correlation coefficient between all variables and a (0, 1) indicator that equals one if is the board is defined as busy, which occurs when 50% or more of the board’s outside directors hold three or more directorships. ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Panel B shows characteristics of 2,314 outside directors appointed to the boards of our sample firms from 1989 to 1995. Outside directors are those that are not current or former employees of the firm, are not relatives of the CEO, have no business deals with the firm other than their directorship, and do not have interlocking directorships with the CEO. We classify boards as being interlocked if the CEO sits on the board of an outside director. Data on director characteristics are obtained from annual proxy statements.

Panel A

Correlation with Variable Mean Median SD “Busy Board”

Board Characteristics Directorships per outside director 3.11 2.89 2.23 0.22∗ Percentage of inside directors 29.67 26.05 15.03 −0.07∗∗∗ Percentage of gray directors 15.02 9.21 13.32 −0.12∗∗∗ Percentage of outside directors 55.33 56.23 17.12 0.68∗ Percentage of directors who are 14.96 13.20 11.70 0.56∗

other firms’ CEOs Percentage of busy directors 52.26 – – – Percentage of busy boards 21.42 – – – Board size 11.88 12 2.95 0.15∗ Presence of interlocked board 0.36 0 0.72 0.48∗∗ Directors’ fees (1995 dollars) 35,904 27,601 13,562 0.29∗ Number of board meetings/year 7.56 7 2.56 0.31∗

Governance Structure CEO from founding family (0, 1) 0.26 0 0.39 −0.28∗∗∗ Non-CEO chairman of board (0, 1) 0.15 0 0.33 −0.08∗∗∗ CEO’s tenure as CEO 8.68 7.5 7.68 0.12∗∗ CEO’s age 58.06 56 7.04 0.00 Insider ownership (% common) 6.97 2.22 13.67 −0.21∗∗ Institutional ownership (% common) 49.13 33.33 13.92 −0.06∗

Firm Characteristics Total sales (1995 $MM) 9,016.01 3,444.72 21,100.23 0.31∗ EBIT/Total assets 0.191 0.150 0.128 0.10∗ Firm age (years since incorporation) 23.6 12 9.33 0.45∗

(continued )

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 697

Table II—Continued

Panel B

Mean Median SD

Directorships per director 3.04 2.00 1.99 Percentage of appointees with three or more directorships 17.11 – – Age of the appointee 57 55 3.82 Equity ownership appointee (% of common) 0.03 0.07 0.15 Percentage of appointees that represent a board expansion 33.03 – – Percentage of appointees that replace an independent

director 52.23 – –

Percentage of appointees that replace an inside director 9.81 – – Percentage of appointees that replace a gray director 4.92 – – Percentage of appointees without prior board experience 13.56 – – Percentage of appointees who are commercial or

investment bankers 7.02 – –

Percentage of appointees who are current Forbes 500 executives

20.04 – –

Percentage of appointees who are current CEOs of other firms

42.05 – –

Percentage of appointees who are retired CEOs of other firms

18.12 – –

more of the board’s outside directors are busy. Throughout the paper, we refer to this variable as the “busy board” indicator. Panel A shows that 21% of the firms in the sample have busy boards.

A typical board has approximately 12 directors, 55.33% of whom are out- siders. The average board meets just under eight times a year. In Table II, we present the correlation of certain firm characteristics with the busy board indicator. This variable exhibits a positive correlation with the average director- ships held by outside directors, the presence of an interlocking board, director fees, the frequency of board meetings, firm age, operating profit margin, and total sales. We observe a negative correlation between busy board and the per- centage of inside and gray directors, ownership by insiders, and CEOs from founding families.

We track annual appointments of outside directors to the boards of the 508 firms during the 7-year period. Panel B of Table II presents key characteristics for the 2,314 individuals who are appointed as independent directors to the boards of these companies. A typical outsider is in her mid-50s and owns very little equity in the other boards on which she serves. Most of the appointees (52%) replace another independent director. These characteristics are compa- rable to those reported by Shivdasani and Yermack (1999) who study director appointments between 1994 and 1996. About 20% of all outside directors are current Forbes 500 executives, and almost 14% have no prior board experience. This last statistic is comparable to that reported by Ferris et al. (2003) who study director data for firms during the 1995 proxy season.

698 The Journal of Finance

B. Average Directorships versus Busy Boards

Understanding what constitutes a busy board is a central issue underlying our tests. We consider boards busy if 50% or more of the outside directors hold three or more board seats instead of using the average number of directorships by outside directors to identify busy boards. At issue is the extreme skewness in the distribution of board seats held by outside directors. An example is helpful in illustrating this measurement issue.

Panels A through D of Table III report board appointments held by outside directors at Host Marriott, Gannett Newspapers, The Clorox Company, and MGM Grand, Inc., as disclosed in their 1993 proxy statements. While the ratio of total directorships to outside directors for Host Marriott and Gannett News- papers is similar, 3.5 and 3.4, respectively, we determine that Host Marriott has a busy board, but not Gannett Newspapers. Conversely, a comparison of MGM Grand and Clorox demonstrates that a high average number of directorships does not necessarily indicate that a majority of outside directors are busy. The average ratio of directorships by outside directors is 3.66 for MGM Grand and only 2.66 for Clorox. However, 50% of the outside directors at Clorox are busy as compared to only 33% at MGM.

Panel E of Table III shows that a one-to-one correspondence between the average number of directorships and busy boards also fails to hold in the full sample. We divide the sample into four groups based on the percentage of out- side directors that are classified as busy. When more than 75% of the outside directors are busy, the average number of directorships per outside director is 3.35. However, when only 25–50% of the outside directors are busy, the average number of directorships held by outside directors is 3.41. Our measurement treats boards in the first group as busy, while Ferris et al. (2003) would treat firms in the second group as having busier boards. As we illustrate later, our measurement appears to highlight a stronger link between busy boards and firm performance than using the average number of board seats variable.

III. Busy Boards and Firm Performance

Our first set of tests involves panel data estimates relating the market-to- book ratio to busy boards and other corporate governance and financial at- tributes. These models assume that a high market-to-book ratio is indicative of good management and governance. However, alternative interpretations of a high market-to-book ratio are equally plausible. In particular, if financial or liquidity constraints cause some firms to underinvest, the potential value of unexploited investments may lead to a high marginal Tobin’s Q. If underin- vestment is pervasive, our formulation would erroneously treat a high market- to-book ratio as indicative of good governance. We address this issue by using a number of controls for investment opportunities. However, we recognize that all measures are subject to measurement error. Therefore, we also supplement the market-to-book ratio tests with similar models estimating operating perfor- mance. Since historical operating performance does not employ market prices,

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 699

Table III Directorships by Outside Directors

Panels A through D report the total number of directorships held by outside directors, the mean directorships per outside director, and the percentage of outside directors holding three or more directorships for four companies in our data set during the 1993 proxy season. The total number of directorships simply counts the number of total boards of publicly traded firms on which the outside director serves. We do not count board service in private firms, charitable institutions, or not-for-profit organizations. The last row in each panel provides a (0, 1) variable for whether boards are busy. We code boards as busy, with a one, if 50% or more outside directors hold three or more total directorships. Panel E reports mean directorships per outside director and per board for our sample firms according to the percentage of outside directors holding three or more directorships. Directorships per outside director are estimated as the total directorships held by outside directors divided by the number of outside directors. Similarly, directorships per board are all directorships held by every director, regardless of his/her classification, divided by board size.

Director Main Occupation Total Directorships

Panel A: Host Marriott—Outside Directors 1993

R. T. Ammon Former Partner, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. 4 A. D. McLaughlin President, Federal City Council (former U.S.

secretary of labor) 8

H. L. Vincent, Jr. Retired Vice-Chairman, Booz-Allen & Hamilton 1 A. J. Young Vice Chairman, Law Companies Group, Inc. 1

Total directorships 14 Total directorships/outside directors 14/4 = 3.5 Percentage with three or more directorships 50% Is the board busy? (0 = No, 1 = Yes) Yes

Panel B: Gannett Newspapers—Outside Directors 1993

Rosalyn Carter Former First Lady of the United States of America 1 C. T. Rowan President, CTR Productions 2 D. D. Wharton CEO, Fund for Corporate Initiatives 3 A. F. Brimmer Retired officer, Federal Reserve Bank 9 M. A. Brokaw Owner, Penny Whistle Toys 2

Total directorships 17 Total directorships/outside directors 17/5 = 3.4 Percentage with three or more directorships 40% Is the board busy? (0 = No, 1 = Yes) No

Panel C: Clorox—Outside Directors 1993

D. Boggan Vice Chancellor, U.C. Berkeley 1 D. O. Morton Retired COO, Hewlett Packard 5 E. L. Scarff Former CEO, Arcata Corporation 1 L. R. Scott CEO, Carolina Freight 3 F. N. Shumway Retired Chairman, Allied Signal 4 J. A. Vohs Retired Chairman, Kaiser Health GP 2

Total directorships 16 Total directorships/outside directors 16/6 = 2.66 Percentage with three or more directorships 50% Is the board busy? (0 = No, 1 = Yes) Yes

(continued )

700 The Journal of Finance

Table III—Continued

Director Main Occupation Total Directorships

Panel D: MGM Grand—Outside Directors 1993

Willie D. Davis President, All-Pro Broadcasting 8 Lee A. Iacocca Chairman, Iacocca Capital GP (Retired CEO,

Chrysler) 1

E. Parry CEO, Valley Capital Corporation 2 Total directorships 11 Total directorships/outside directors 11/3 = 3.66 Percentage with three or more directorships 33.33% Is the board busy? (0 = No, 1 = Yes) No

Boards with Outside Directors Holding Three Are Outside Mean Directorships Mean Directorships or More Directorships Directors Busy? per Outside Director per Board

Panel E

x ≥ 75% Yes 3.35 1.85 50% ≤ x < 75% Yes 3.19 1.77 25% < x < 50% No 3.41 1.88 x ≤ 25% No 2.36 1.38

this measure is unlikely to reflect the value of future investment opportunities. In addition, we suspect that financial constraints are less likely to be predom- inant in our sample, which consists of the largest U.S. corporations during the time period studied.

A. Market-to-Book Ratio Tests

We estimate firm-fixed effects regressions using the market-to-book ratio as the dependent variable. We calculate the market-to-book ratio as the market value of the firm’s equity at the end of the year plus the difference between the book value of the firm’s assets and the book value of the firm’s equity at the end of the year, divided by the book value of the firm’s assets at the end of the year. This calculation closely follows that of Smith and Watts (1992). The regressions control for corporate governance and financial characteristics likely to affect firm performance. Gilson (1990) finds that during periods of financial distress, firms reduce board size, and Yermack (1996) documents a negative and significant association between company valuation and board size. We in- clude the log of board size in our tests. We control for firm size using the natural log of sales. Board composition is controlled for by scaling the number of out- side directors by board size. We include the percentage of the firm’s common shares beneficially owned by company insiders as an independent variable, be- cause several studies link share ownership with firm value. We also include the natural log of meetings and the number of board committees as independent

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 701

variables (Vafeas (1999)). We control for both the presence of interlocking di- rectorships between outside directors and the CEO using an indicator variable, and for the number of outside directorships held by the CEO (Booth and Deli (1996)). Our regressions include the ratio of depreciation expenditures to sales as a measure of the firm’s investment opportunity set (tests using alternative measures are described later), and also control for firm age. Throughout, the fixed effects specification is employed to control for unobservable attributes, such as company’s history, culture, and product mix, that potentially affect firm performance.

The results of the multivariate models are reported in Table IV. Model (1) shows that the coefficient for the busy board indicator is negative and statisti- cally significant at the 1% level. In model (2), we use the percentage of outside directors that are busy and find a negative and significant coefficient on this variable as well. Therefore, both specifications indicate a negative and statis- tically significant relation between the presence of busy outside directors and the market-to-book ratio. Our estimates suggest that the impact of busy out- side directors on firm performance is economically nontrivial. The coefficient estimate in model (1) indicates that a busy board reduces the market-to-book ratio by about 0.04.

We examine if the marginal impact of a busy outside director depends on whether or not a majority of the outside directors are busy. Model (3) includes an interaction term between the percentage of busy outside directors and the busy board indicator variable. The interaction term is negative and significant at the 6% level, indicating that when a majority of outside directors are busy, the market-to-book ratio has a stronger negative association with the percentage of busy outside directors. This suggests that reducing the fraction of busy directors for boards in which a majority of outside directors are busy is likely to yield more meaningful valuation improvements.

Coefficient estimates for the control variables are in line with those reported by other studies. We obtain an inverse and statistically significant association between board size and firm performance (Yermack (1996)). The number of busi- ness segments is negatively related to performance (Berger and Ofek (1995)), while ownership by officers and directors yields positive coefficients (Yermack (1996)). As in Fich and Shivdasani (2005), we find that firm size is positively associated with market-to-book ratio. Market-to-book ratios are also negatively related to firm age and the presence of an interlocking board, though the latter effect is significant at the 10% level in some specifications.

Using the fixed effects framework, we are able to replicate the cross-sectional results of Ferris et al. (2003) in our sample. Ferris et al. (2003) measure the de- gree to which directors are busy by using the average numbers of directorships per director and directorships per outside director. Models (4) and (5) show that neither of these two variables displays a significant association with the market-to-book ratio; similar to the results obtained by Ferris et al. (2003). The contrast between these results and those shown in models (1)–(3) suggest that inferences on the effects of busy boards are sensitive to how the presence of busy directors is measured.

702 The Journal of Finance

Table IV

Busy Outside Directors and Firm Performance This table presents fixed effects regressions of firm performance and busy outside directors. All regressions use market-to-book ratio as the dependent variable. We calculate the market-to-book ratio as the market value of the firm’s equity at the end of the year plus the difference between the book value of the firm’s assets and the book value of the firm’s equity at the end of the year, divided by the book value of the firm’s assets at the end of the year. This calculation closely follows that of Smith and Watts (1992). Regression (1) uses a (0, 1) dummy variable equal to one if 50% or more of the board’s outside directors individually hold three or more directorships as the key independent variable. Regression (2) uses the percentage of outside directors that hold three or more directorships (i.e., are busy) as the key independent variable. We classify boards as being interlocked if the CEO sits on the board of an outside director; all other variables are self-explanatory or are described in the main text. The sample is described in Panel A of Table II. We report White (1980) heteroskedasticity-robust p-values in parentheses below each coefficient estimate.

Variable (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

Board Characteristics Average directorships by outside directors −0.077

(0.26) Average directorships by board −0.040

(0.60) Busy outside directors (0, 1) −0.042

(0.00) Percentage of busy outside directors −0.152 −0.083

(0.00) (0.00) Percentage of busy outside directors × Busy −0.071

outside directors (0, 1) (0.06)

Log of the directorships held by the CEO −0.166 −0.169 −0.160 −0.179 −0.177 (0.16) (0.13) (0.13) (0.09) (0.12)

Firm has an industry director 0.050 0.049 0.044 0.048 0.049 (0.28) (0.54) (0.60) (0.32) (0.23)

Directors’ ownership (% of common) 0.187 0.122 0.124 0.188 0.188 (0.09) (0.08) (0.07) (0.10) (0.08)

Board interlock (0, 1) −0.009 −0.008 −0.008 −0.014 −0.010 (0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.05) (0.05)

CEO ownership (% of common) 0.008 0.015 0.016 0.009 0.009 (0.12) (0.08) (0.09) (0.13) (0.13)

Log of board size −0.314 −0.290 −0.298 −0.303 −0.299 (0.01) (0.05) (0.05) (0.01) (0.05)

Log of board meetings −0.091 −0.119 −0.100 −0.093 −0.090 (0.26) (0.40) (0.27) (0.22) (0.29)

Board committees −0.016 −0.013 −0.009 −0.011 −0.015 (0.68) (0.58) (0.47) (0.56) (0.64)

Board composition (% outside directors) 0.165 0.147 0.149 0.161 0.161 (0.06) (0.24) (0.20) (0.06) (0.06)

Firm Characteristics Return on assets 2.002 2.044 2.029 1.996 2.004

(0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Firm size (log of total sales) 0.433 0.436 0.441 0.430 0.438

(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Firm age −0.001 −0.001 −0.001 −0.001 −0.001

(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Growth opportunities 0.077 0.093 0.080 0.100 0.079

(depreciation expense/sales) (0.24) (0.27) (0.25) (0.31) (0.26)

Number of business segments −0.049 −0.051 −0.048 −0.052 −0.049 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Year (0, 1) indicators Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Adjusted R2 37.53% 37.69% 38.11% 33.02% 34.18%

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 703

B. Operating Performance Tests

The market-to-book ratio is also often used as a measure of growth opportu- nities. Despite our controls for investment opportunities in the regressions, and additional robustness tests described in Section IV, we are concerned about the possible impact that growth opportunities have on our coefficient estimates. To address this issue, we estimate the impact of busy boards on accounting measures of current performance, since these measures are less likely to be mechanically driven by growth opportunities. The fixed effects regressions in Table V replace the market-to-book ratio with three different measures of op- erating performance.

Models (1) and (2) of Table V use the ROA as the dependent variable.6 These regressions produce results that are consistent with those in Table IV. For example, in model (1), the coefficient for the busy board indicator variable is negative and statistically significant (−0.0024, p-value = 0.00). This estimate indicates that ROA is about 0.24 percentage points lower in firms with busy boards. Therefore, while the effect of a busy board on ROA is statistically sig- nificant, the economic magnitude of the relation is not particularly large.

We also measure firm performance using two additional financial ratios, namely, sales over assets (asset turnover ratio), and the return on sales, com- puted as operating income over net sales. We estimate fixed effects regressions using these ratios as dependent variables, and present them as models (3) and (4) of Table V. The busy board indicator yields a negative and significant coef- ficient of −0.033 with a p-value = 0.02 in the sales over assets regression, and a −0.0027 coefficient with a p-value = 0.00 in the return on sales regression. These results are consistent with our earlier findings and suggest that compa- nies with busy boards tend to display weaker operating profitability than firms in which boards are not busy.

C. Robustness Checks

C.1. Alternative Hypothesis

While the preceding results support the view that busy outside directors are associated with lower firm performance, the findings could be consistent with other explanations. Gilson (1990) reports that distressed firms revamp their boards by making them more independent and by appointing turnaround specialists. It is possible that busy outside directors tend to be appointed to boards of poorly performing companies if these directors are viewed as helpful in formulating turnaround strategies. To control for this potential endogeneity, we reestimate our regressions using 1- and 2-year lagged values of the busy board

6 We calculate ROA as operating income before depreciation (Compustat item 13) plus the de- crease in receivables (Compustat item 2), the decrease in inventory (Compustat item 3), the increase in current liabilities (Compustat item 72), and the decrease in other current assets (Compustat item 68). We scale this measure by the average of beginning- and ending-year book value of total assets (Compustat item 6).

704 The Journal of Finance

Table V

Fixed Effects Coefficient Estimates: Busy Outside Directors and Firm Profitability

In this table, the dependent variables are return on assets (ROA), sales over assets, and return on sales. We first sum operating income before depreciation (Compustat item 13) plus the decrease in receivables (Compustat item 2), the decrease in inventory (Compustat item 3), the increase in current liabilities (Compustat item 72), and the decrease in other current assets (Compustat item 68). We scale this measure by the average of beginning- and ending-year book value of total assets (Compustat item 6) to find ROA. Similarly, we divide this measure by the average of beginning- and ending-year sales to compute ROS. We use the log of total capital as a proxy for firm size. Regressions (1), (2), and (3) use a (0, 1) dummy variable that equals one if 50% or more of the board’s outside directors individually hold three or more directorships as the key independent variable. Regression (2) uses the percentage of outside directors that hold three or more directorships (i.e., are busy) as the key independent variable. All other variables are self-explanatory or are described in the main text. The sample consists of Forbes 500 firms from 1989 to 1995 described in Panel A of Table II. White (1980) heteroskedasticity-robust p-values appear in parentheses below each coefficient estimate.

Dependent Variable

(1) (2) (3) (4) Independent Variables ROA ROA Sales/Assets ROS

Board Characteristics Busy outside directors (0, 1) −0.00235 −0.033 −0.00272

(0.00) (0.02) (0.00) Percentage of busy outside directors −0.0163

(0.01) Log of the directorships held by the CEO −0.078 −0.071 −0.002 −0.041

(0.27) (0.20) (0.61) (0.33) Firm has an industry director 0.020 0.015 0.004 0.018

(0.31) (0.33) (0.40) (0.39) Directors’ ownership (% of common) 0.022 0.025 0.222 0.024

(0.17) (0.11) (0.09) (0.11) Board interlock (0, 1) −0.005 −0.005 −0.004 −0.005

(0.10) (0.13) (0.06) (0.08) CEO ownership (% of common) 0.003 0.003 0.141 0.005

(0.17) (0.29) (0.29) (0.13) Log of board size −0.041 −0.043 −0.139 −0.032

(0.01) (0.01) (0.04) (0.01) Log of board meetings −0.129 −0.134 −0.099 −0.138

(0.05) (0.06) (0.11) (0.02) Board committees −0.000 −0.000 −0.005 −0.000

(0.40) (0.42) (0.44) (0.39) Board composition (% outside directors) 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.007

(0.35) (0.38) (0.45) (0.11) Firm Characteristics

Return on sales (1) and (2), 1.841 1.967 3.671 4.698 Return on capital (3) and (4) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)

Firm size 0.048 0.047 0.166 0.094 (0.00) (0.00) (0.01) (0.03)

Firm age −0.0008 −0.0008 −0.0006 −0.0008 (0.03) (0.04) (0.14) (0.03)

Depreciation expense/sales 0.054 0.050 0.063 0.060 (0.06) (0.05) (0.07) (0.13)

Number of business segments −0.006 −0.006 −0.003 −0.008 (0.05) (0.04) (0.00) (0.03)

Year (0, 1) indicators Yes Yes Yes Yes Adjusted R2 26.36% 27.10% 13.90% 25.01%

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 705

indicator and other corporate governance variables. These tests continue to yield an inverse and statistically significant association between firm perfor- mance and our busy board measures. We describe more detailed tests of this potential endogeneity in Section IV.

C.2. Size and Performance Proxies

We repeat the analyses presented in Table IV using different proxies for firm size, replacing the natural log of sales by both the natural log of capital and the natural log of assets.7 These tests also yield an inverse association between busy board and performance. Our result continues to be robust to different con- structions of the dependent variable. Instead of the Smith and Watts (1992) market-to-book ratio calculation, we use the Tobin’s Q calculation of Perfect and Wiles (1994), and the Q calculation of Shin and Stulz (2000). These dif- ferent constructions of the dependent variable do not qualitatively alter the results.

C.3. Characterizing Busy Outsiders

We use a less expansive definition of our key independent variable based on a slightly different procedure to identify busy outside directors. Core et al. (1999) differentiate between outside directors that are currently employed and those that are retired. In their taxonomy, retired outside directors are considered busy if they serve on six or more publicly traded boards. We fol- low their definition and deem employed outside directors busy when they hold three or more directorships and retired outside directors busy when they hold six or more directorships. A board is defined as busy when 50% or more of its outside directors are individually classified as busy. We construct a (0, 1) indicator under this criterion and perform regressions similar to those in Table IV. The coefficient estimate for a (0, 1) independent variable under this taxonomy is −0.0401 (p-value = 0.06). This estimate is slightly smaller in magnitude than that reported in Table IV, but generates qualitatively similar inferences.

C.4. Investment Opportunities

Notwithstanding the results in Table V, a concern with the regressions pre- sented in Table IV is whether we appropriately control for the role of the firm’s investment opportunity set. As an alternative to using depreciation to control for investment opportunities, we use the ratio of capital expenditures to sales and obtain results similar to those reported earlier. We recognize the possibility

7 Total capital adds the market value of the firm’s equity, book value, long-term debt, and an estimated market value of preferred stock. We calculate the market value of preferred stock by dividing preferred dividends over the prevailing yield on Moody’s index of high-grade industrial preferred stocks.

706 The Journal of Finance

that in the presence of financial constraints, growth opportunities may not be fully captured by capital expenditures. Therefore, we also use the ratio of re- search and development (R&D) to sales, the earnings-to-price ratio, and the variance of common stock returns as other control variables. The use of these different proxies for investment opportunities does not alter our results. Our proxies for busy outside directors continue to yield a negative and significant association with the market-to-book ratio in all specifications.

D. Summary

Results presented in this section indicate that firm performance, measured using both the market-to-book ratio as well as several measures of operating profitability, is inversely related to the presence of a majority of outside directors that serve on three or more boards. However, similar to Ferris et al. (2003), we are unable to uncover such a relation using the average number of board seats held by all directors or by outside directors.

Our estimates suggest that a change in the board’s status from busy to non- busy is associated with an increase in the market-to-book ratio of 0.04. To put this result in perspective, findings in Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick (2003) imply that during the 1990–1995 period, a one point increase in their compos- ite “Governance Index” reduces the market-to-book ratio by an average 3.37 percentage points. Yermack (1996) suggests that an increase in board size from eight to nine directors leads to a reduction in market-to-book ratio of 0.04 and Daines (2001) finds that incorporation in Delaware leads to a 0.06 increase in market-to-book ratio. Anderson and Reeb (2003) find market-to- book ratio is about 0.15 higher for family-run firms and Fich and Shivdasani (2006) find it is about 0.14 higher for firms with stock option plans for outside directors.

IV. Appointments and Departures of Busy Outside Directors

Results of Section III show a negative association between busy boards and firm performance. In this section, we turn to the potential endogeneity of busy outside directors with respect to performance. We explore whether firms tend to appoint busy directors when performance suffers and/or whether non- busy directors are more likely to depart the board when firms perform well. We therefore conduct tests on the number of board seats held by directors and on appointments of new outside directors. We also examine the deter- minants of outside director departures. Our primary focus in these tests is whether patterns in appointments and departures of outside directors explain the negative relation between firm performance and busy boards described in Section III.

There are several reasons why appointments of directors with multiple board seats might be linked to company performance. It is possible that poorly per- forming firms are more likely to seek out new outside directors that sit on sev- eral boards because such directors have valuable reputations and experience

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 707

that can help reverse poor performance. An alternative possibility is that poorly performing firms may find it difficult to attract directors that have high repu- tations and significant opportunities to serve on other boards.8

Similarly, reputational concerns may also affect how firm performance influ- ences the departure of outside directors. Brown and Maloney (1999) suggest that directors with significant reputational capital might choose to protect it by leaving boards of companies that perform poorly. Alternatively, if poor firm performance causes CEOs to favor busy directors that might be weaker moni- tors, they may choose to reappoint outside directors with multiple board seats, while denying reappointment to those serving on few boards. To understand how firm performance affects changes in board composition, we study board appointments and departures within our sample.

As described in Section II, our sample firms appointed 2,314 outside direc- tors during 1989 to 1995. We track each of these outside directors until the year 2000 to determine which of these directors remained on the board and which subsequently departed the board. For each outside director appointed, we review both the annual report and the firm’s proxy statements to establish whether the appointed director remained on the board. We search the Wall Street Journal Index and Lexis/Nexis when we are able to identify a departure, and read newspaper stories and company press releases in order to ascertain the reason for the departure. We identify a total of 1,676 director departures among our sample. Of these, we are able to identify 360 voluntary departures. We classify a departure as voluntary if the reason given for the director’s depar- ture is either to pursue other interests or to take a position elsewhere. We also record 490 departures related to board term limits, normal retirements, health problems, or death. In 826 instances, we are unable to precisely establish the reason for the departure. Of the 2,314 appointees, 638 continued serving as directors until the end of year 2000.

We conduct four tests using this sample of outside director appointments and departures. First, we estimate a maximum likelihood model of the number of board seats held by appointees. Second, we examine the factors that affect the likelihood that a busy director is appointed to the board. Third, we estimate a hazard model to understand the determinants of outside director departures. Our fourth test examines the probability that a busy director departs the board. In all tests, our primary focus is to understand whether firm performance has a significant impact on the types of outside directors that join and leave the board.

A. Multivariate Analysis of the Determinants of Directorships

We estimate a Poisson maximum likelihood regression to investigate the determinants of directorships for the 2,314 appointees. The dependent vari- able is the count of the directorships held by each outside director. We include

8 This potential endogeneity, however, works against uncovering the negative relation that we document between firm performance and busy outside directors.

708 The Journal of Finance

the industry-adjusted stock return over the prior year as a measure of the appointing firm’s performance as an independent variable. The regression in- cludes appointee-specific characteristics such as age, gender, and educational and professional qualifications. We also include firm-specific attributes relat- ing to the companies in which the individual serves as a director. Unless the appointee is the CEO of another firm, we compute the average stock ownership by the outside director for all of the boards on which he/she serves, as well as the average industry-adjusted ROA, the market-adjusted stock return, and the average size (natural log of sales) of these firms. If the appointee is a CEO in another firm, we record the stock ownership, industry-adjusted ROA, the market-adjusted stock return, and the size of the firm in which he/she serves as CEO.

The results of the Poisson model are reported in the first column of Table VI.9 We find that the performance of the appointing firm is unrelated to the count of directorships held by outside director appointees. In contrast, the average performance of the firms on whose boards the directors sit is positively associated with their directorship count. The coefficients on both the average directorship industry-adjusted ROA and the market-adjusted stock return are positive, with p-values of 0.03 and 0.07, respectively.

We also observe that being a current or retired CEO of another firm pos- itively affects the number of directorships held as does being a director at larger companies. Similar results are documented in Fich (2005) and Ferris et al. (2003) and suggest that the increased visibility from sitting on boards of large companies may help some directors obtain more directorships. Finally, we find a lower count of directorships when directors have gray status at other boards, suggesting that firms avoid appointing board members that face poten- tial conflicts of interest at other companies. Alternatively, extensive business dealings with a firm may leave gray directors with little time to serve on other boards.

Overall, the results of the Poisson model indicate that the accumulation of directorships is positively related to the performance of the firms in which the individual is an outside director, but we do not find evidence that poor performance increases the frequency of appointments of outside directors that serve on several boards.

9 The Poisson model specifies that if λ is defined by log (λ) = Xβ, where X is a vector of indepen- dent variables and β is a parameter vector, then the probability of n outside directors obtaining a directorship in a given year is given by: λn e−λ/λ! The log-likelihood function of this specification is maximized over β to produce maximum likelihood estimates and is given as,

L(β) = N∑

i=1

T∑ t=1

{ C1 − e(Xitβ) + nitXitβ

} ,

where C1 is a constant that does not change the maximization process, N is the number of firms, T is the number of time periods per firm, and nit is the number of outside directors obtaining a directorship in firm i in year t.

Are Busy Boards Effective Monitors? 709

B. Appointments of Busy Outside Directors To study appointments of busy outside directors, we estimate a logit model

using the 2,314 appointees, where the dependent variable is set equal to one if the director holds three or more total directorships (i.e., is busy), and is set

Table VI Determinants of Directorships and Appointments

of Busy Outside Directors Model (1) presents Poisson maximum likelihood estimates for the determinants of the number of directorships held by outside directors. The dependent variable counts the number of directorships held by the outside director. Model (2) presents logit estimates for busy directors. The dependent variable takes the value of one if the outside director holds three or more total directorships and the value of zero otherwise. The sample consists of 2,314 outside directors appointed to the boards of our 508 sample firms from 1989 to 1995. Unless the director is a CEO of another firm, we compute the average ownership of the outside director on all of the boards he serves, as well as the average industry-adjusted ROA and the size of these firms. If the appointee is a CEO in another firm, we simply record his ownership, the industry-adjusted ROA, and the size of the firm in which he is the CEO. We use the natural log of sales to proxy for firm size in model (1) and the natural log of the market value of assets in model (2). All industry adjustments are done by subtracting the median of the variable matching by the company’s two-digit SIC code. We report p-values under parentheses.

Variable (1) Poisson (2) Logit

Constant −0.197 −2.818 (0.42) (0.00)

Appointing Firm’s Performance Industry-adjusted stock return (Rt − Rind)t−1 0.108 0.152

(0.36) (0.34) Sales growth [log(Salest/Salest−1)] −0.405 −0.121

(0.49) (0.53) Appointee’s Characteristics

Age −0.057 −0.166 (0.01) (0.28)

Gender (Female = 1, Male = 0) 0.409 0.108 (0.20) (0.12)

Average directorship ownership (% of common stock) 0.006 −0.105 (0.59) (0.01)

Average directorship industry-adjusted ROA 0.190 0.377 (0.03) (0.00)

Average directorship change in the stock return (Rt − Rmkt) 0.095 0.120 (0.07) (0.01)

Average directorship firm size 0.167 0.219 (0.00) (0.01)

CEO in another firm 0.202 0.883 (0.00) (0.00)

Retired CEO in another firm 0.288 1.659 (0.00) (0.00)

Gray director in another firm −0.040 −0.199 (0.05) (0.01)

Law degree −0.240 0.310 (0.50) (0.11)

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Read article and respond to question

Read article and respond to question

Ask this question: Suppose that you were serving as a director. How would you determine whether your current board was too big or too small, i.e., how would you determine the optimal board size?

Do peer review of this question: Do you think there should be term limits for directors? Why or why not? Do you think opinions on this would differ between CEOs, directors, and shareholders?

Peer’s answer: In my opinion, directors should have term limits. Because directors should be changed according to the process of the company’s operation. The company needs to refresh its boards after a long or short periods not only to make sure it can follow the pace of the market, but also to make sure directors’ work can be done efficiently. In my opinion, CEOs, directors and shareholders have different opinions on this question. CEOs may not want directors to have term limits. CEOs and directors can create a strong connection after a long term of cooperation. They know each other well and they may have a agreement to make sure the continuous operation of the company. If directors have term limits, it may cause some difficulties for CEOs to take more time to work with new directors and create new connections. Directors may want term limits. Because working as a director is a very stressful work. As a director, he or she not only have to work with the management of the company to make sure the company keep operating, but also have to communicate with shareholders to make sure their benefit can be served. In this case, directors may need term limits to make sure they can get some rest have a term of stressful work. Shareholders’ opinion depends on whether their benefit can be ensured. Shareholders care their benefit. All they want the company to do is to grow profit and make them rich. Once they found themselves earn money because of the directors of the company’ hard work, they may not want to change these directors quickly. However if they lose money, they may want these directors to be changed

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in seven hours

in seven hours

Watch the videos ‘Travel Can Change You’ and answer the following questions thoughtfully and thoroughly. Your answers should be in BOLD RED. You will then upload this document in Canvas. You can earn up to 10 bonus points for this activity.

From the quotes provided at the beginning of the presentation, in what ways can travel change people? What opportunities does it provide?

Insert Answer Here

Why was this trip to Uganda important to Claire? In your perspective, what were the most important lessons she took away from this travel experience?

Insert Answer Here

What is a ‘mzungu’ from a Ugandan perspective? What are some of the derivations of its meaning (for better or for worse)? Google it!

Insert Answer Here

TIA means ‘This Is Africa’ and it was a mantra used by many fellow travelers during her trip to Uganda. Why was it used? How might using this phrase be unintentionally limiting or negative? Google it!

Insert Answer Here

From your perspectives what were some important (sometimes painful) key lessons that Claire learned from the El Salvador trip? What specific problems arose from being a ‘guest’ of a prominent family vs. a ‘customer and partner’ of a government or nongovernmental agency on this service trip? How could you apply some of her tough lessons to your own studies or travels?

Insert Answer Here

From your perspective what are some key lessons about tourism and sustainability that Claire learned from the St. Lucia trip? How could you apply them to your own studies or travels?

Insert Answer Here

What are [human] ‘zoo pictures’ and how might that practice impact local culture?

Insert Answer Here

What are some key lessons/insights Claire learn from the trip to France, in contrast to other destinations?

Insert Answer Here

What are some key lessons Claire learned about sustainable tourism from the Costa Rica trip? How could you apply them to your own studies or travels?

Insert Answer Here

Explain what the Costa Rican term ‘Pura Vida’ is about. How could you apply this to your life and/or travels?

Insert Answer Here

What key lesson did Claire learn in Fiji and Australia from your perspective? How could you apply these to your future career or travels?

Insert Answer Here

What is the history and usage of the word ‘Bula’ in Fiji?

Insert Answer Here

Which tourism stakeholders have the least say (as demonstrated in Australia)?

Insert Answer Here

What key lesson did Claire learn in Botswana from your perspective? How could you apply these to your future career or travels?

Insert Answer Here

What is tourism’s greatest transformative potential from an interpersonal/intercultural perspective? Explain.

Insert Answer Here

Have you had a travel experience (near or far) that revealed a new understanding or promoted personal growth in you? Tell me about it! If you have not, find an article, story, or blog about a person’s travel transformation and briefly describe it here, including a link to where you found it.

Insert Answer Here

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Statistical Concepts in Public Health, Homework two

Statistical Concepts in Public Health, Homework two

Due, 4/25/19 11:59 pm EST

Covers Material in Lecture Sets 1-5

Homework 2, Part A (the questions in part A will be presented as multiple choice questions in the Quiz Generator version)

Question 1

A 2016 article in JAMA reports the results of a study of treatment outcomes for children with mild gastroenteritis who were given oral rehydration therapy. Enrolled children were randomized to received either rehydration with diluted apple juice (DAJ), or an electrolyte maintenance solution (EMS). As per the study authors:

“The primary outcome was a composite of treatment failure defined by any of the following occurring within 7 days of enrollment: intravenous rehydration, hospitalization, subsequent unscheduled physician encounter, protracted symptoms, crossover, and 3%or more weight loss or significant dehydration at in-person follow-up. Secondary outcomes included intravenous rehydration, hospitalization, and frequency of diarrhea and vomiting.”

Of the 323 children randomized to DAJ, 54 experienced treatment failure. (17 %). Of he 324 children randomized to EMS, 81 experienced treatment failure. (25 %)

  1. For this study, what is the outcome of interest?
  2. For this study what is the primary exposure of interest?
  3. Estimate the risk difference (difference in proportions) of treatment failure for children in the DAJ group compared to children in the EMS group. (DAJ-EMS)
  4. Interpret the estimate from item 3 in a sentence.
  5. Estimate the relative risk (risk ratio) of treatment failure for children in the DAJ group compared to children in the EMS group.
  6. Interpret the estimate from item 5 in a sentence.
  7. Estimate the relative odds (odds ratio) of treatment failure for children in the DAJ group compared to children in the EMS group.
  8. Interpret the estimate from part f in a sentence.
  9. Do the estimated risk difference, relative risk and odds ratio agree in terms of the direction of association?

Question 2

A pilot study was designed to evaluate the potential efficacy of a program designed to reduce prison recidivism amongst inmates who have a documented long-term history of drug and/or alcohol problems. A sample of 11 prisoners was followed for up to 24 months after their most recent release from prison. Six of the inmates returned to prison at 3, 7 9, 11, 14 and 21 months respectively. Five of the inmates had not returned to prison as of the last time they were last contacted which was at 4, 8, 16, 24, and 24 months respectively.

Use the Kaplan Meier approach to estimate the survival curve for this set of inmates

(which tracks the proportion who have not yet returned to prison over time). It will be

helpful to construct a table like the ones appearing in lecture 5: however, all you will

need to report in the quiz generator are certain quantities from this table for specific

times.

  1. What is the estimated proportion of the total sample who had not returned to prison by 7 months after enrolling in the study?
  2. What is the estimated proportion of the total sample who had not returned to prison by 11 months after enrolling in the study?
  3. What is the estimated proportion of persons who did not return to prison at 11 months among those who were still at risk of returning to prison at 11 months?
  4. What is the estimated percentage of the original sample had not return to prison by 16 months?
  5. Why does the Kaplan-Meier curve not reach 0% by the end of the follow-up period?

Question 3

In a July, 2010 article published in the New England Journal of Medicine[footnoteRef:1], researchers report the results of a randomized clinical trial to evaluate mortality differences in HIV infected subjects in Haiti. Subjects were randomized to receive early versus the current standards for implementation of Antiretriviral therapy. [1: Sever P, et al. Early versus Standard Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV-Infected Adults in Haiti. New England Journal of Medicine. (2010). Vol 363, No 3. ]

As per the abstract:

New Picture

In summarizing the findings, the researchers present the following Kaplan-Meier curve

Statistical Reasoning in Public Health 1, 2016: Homework 2 1

  1. Why do the curves for both groups start at 1 (100%) at time = 0 month?
  2. What is the estimated proportion of persons surviving (remaining alive) beyond 36 months in the Early Retroviral Treatment sample?
  3. What is the estimated proportion of persons surviving (remaining alive) beyond 36 months in the Standard Retroviral Treatment sample?
  4. Based only on this graphic, what can you say about the estimated incidence rate ratio of mortality for standard treatment group compared to the early treatment group? (greater than, less than, or equal to 1). Why?

Question 4

In an August 2013 article published in American Journal of Public Health[footnoteRef:2], researchers report the results of a two-site (San Francisco and NYC) randomized trial: here is a description of the trial and the sample from the article abstract: [2: Masson C, et al. A Randomized Trial of a Hepatitis Care Coordination Model in Methadone Maintenance Treatment. American Journal of Public Health. 2013. Published online ahead of print August 15, 2013]

Objectives. We evaluated the efficacy of a hepatitis care coordination intervention

to improve linkage to hepatitis A virus (HAV) and hepatitis B virus

(HBV) vaccination and clinical evaluation of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection

among methadone maintenance patients.

Methods. We conducted a randomized controlled trial of 489 participants

from methadone maintenance treatment programs in San Francisco, California,

and New York City from February 2008 through June 2011. We randomized

participants to a control arm (n = 245) and an intervention arm (n = 244), which

included on-site screening, motivational-enhanced education and counseling,

on-site vaccination, and case management services.

Of the 150 participants in the intervention group who needed the combined HAV—

HBV vaccine, 115 received the vaccine within 30 days of the vaccine being recommended. Of the 150 participants in the control group who needed the combined HAV-HBV vaccine,18 received the vaccine within 30 days of the vaccine being recommended.

  1. In the above results presented, what is the outcome ?
  2. In the above results presented, what is the exposure (predictor)?
  3. Estimate the risk difference (difference in proportions) of getting the vaccine within 30 day of recommendation for the intervention group compared to the control group.
  4. Interpret the estimate from item 21 in a sentence.
  5. Estimate the relative risk (risk ratio) of getting the vaccine within 30 day of recommendation for the intervention group compared to the control group.
  6. Interpret the estimate from item 23 in a sentence.
  7. Estimate the relative odds (odds ratio) of getting the vaccine within 30 day of recommendation for the intervention group compared to the control group.
  8. Interpret the estimate from part c in a sentence.
  9. Do the estimated risk difference, relative risk and odds ratio agree in terms of the direction of association?
  10. How do the estimated relative risk and estimated odds ratios compare in value?
  11. Suppose you were to misinterpret the odds ratio as the relative risk. What would this do to the reported efficacy of the intervention program with regard to the vaccination outcome (under estimate or over estimate the efficacy)?

Homework 2, Part B: (the question in part a will be presented as fill in the blank/short answer questions in the Quiz Generator version):

Question 1

An October 25, 2012 article in the New England Journal of Medicine reports the results of a study examining aspirin and survival among patients with colorectal cancer. The following pieces of text are taken directly from the article abstract: (my edits are in italics)

“METHODS

We obtained data on 964 patients with rectal or colon cancer from the Nurses’

Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, including data on aspirin

use after diagnosis and the presence or absence of PIK3CA mutation……

RESULTS

Among patients with mutated-PIK3CA colorectal cancers, regular use of aspirin after

diagnosis was associated with superior colorectal cancer–specific survival (adjusted relative risk for cancer-related death, 0.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.06 to

0.61; P<0.001 by the log-rank test) and overall survival (adjusted relative risk for

death from any cause, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.94; P = 0.01 by the log-rank test). In

contrast, among patients with wild-type PIK3CA, regular use of aspirin after diagnosis

was not associated with colorectal cancer–specific survival (adjusted relative risk,

0.96; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.32; P = 0.76 by the log-rank test) ) or overall survival (adjusted relative risk, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.75 to 1.17; P = 0.96 by the log-rank test)”

The authors present the following graphic as part of the article: (on the next page)

New Picture (13)

  1. What is the outcome of interest for this study?
  2. What is the primary predictor of interest?
  3. What type of study design is this?
  4. Describe the findings with regards to aspirin and survival in patients with colorectal cancer with respect to the presence or absence of the PIK3CA mutation.
  5. Even though the authors estimated the association between aspirin and survival separately for the mutated-PIK3CA and wild-type PIK3CA, each of the two associations was adjusted for multiple factors including age, sex, year of diagnosis etc… Why was it potentially necessary to do this adjustment?

Question 2

A 2003 article in New England Journal of Medicine[footnoteRef:3] reports the results from a randomized trial comparing weight change and comorbidity development between severely obese subjects randomized to either receive a low carbohydrate diet or a low fat diet regimen. Both diet regimens lasted for six months. The results with regards to weight change are in the following table: [3: Samaha F, et al. A Low-Carbohydrate as Compared with a Low-Fat Diet in Severe Obesity. New England Journal of Medicine 2003;348:2074-81. ]

With regards to the weight change portion of these study:

  1. What is the main outcome of interest for this study?
  2. What is the main exposure of interest for this study?
  3. Did the subjects in the low-carb diet group gain or lose weight?
  4. Did the subjects in the low-fat diet group gain or lose weight?
  5. In which diet group were the individual weight change values more variable?
  6. Estimate and report the mean difference in weight change for the low-carb diet group compared to the low-fat diet group.
  7. Interpret the estimate from item 11 in a sentence.
  8. What is the estimated mean difference in weight change for comparing the low-fat diet group to the low-carb diet group? How does this estimate compare to the estimate from item 11?
  9. Write a sentence describing the findings conveyed by the following with regards to weight-loss and diet group over the study follow-up period. (While this resembles a Kaplan-Meier curve, it is not)

C:Documents and SettingsstudentLocal SettingsTemporary Internet FilesContent.WordNew Picture.bmp

Suppose the researchers had been able to randomize 300 severely obese

subjects into the two weight-loss groups , such that 154 received the low-carb diet, and 146 the low-fat diet. How should the following quantities compare in value (larger, smaller etc..) to the estimates from the actual study of 132 subjects. Explain your reason for each answer.

  1. The standard deviations of the individual weight change values in each diet group
  2. The mean difference in weight change for the low-carb group compared to the low fat group.

Question 3

A 2015 article in JAMA Psychiatry5 investigates factors associated suicide, including a history of self-harm via poisoning.

The primary outcome of interest was suicide. Subjects were followed until this outcome or censoring (still alive, death by other causes, lost to follow-up).

The following Kaplan-Meier curves show the time-to-outcome curves for the exposure (self-poisoning) and control groups. Time-zero was the discharge date for the self-poisoning subjects. (and the corresponding matched control)

  1. Suppose the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of suicide is computed for the DS cohort compared to the Control group. How will this IRR compare to 1 (<1, >1. =1)?
  2. There are 65,784 subjects who had a self-poisoning episode. However, at

10 years of follow-up, only 21 are at-risk of suicide. In other words, less that 0.1 %

is still at-risk at 10 years. However, the corresponding Kaplan-Meier curve estimate

at 10 years is approximately 99.5% (99.5% had not committed suicide). How is this

possible?

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