shahimermaid

The first part of the project is essentially what I requested for a proposal that is included in Assignment 3.  In this portion of the project (you may call it introduction) the purpose of the project — to develop the best quarterly forecast of your assigned company revenue.  In this introduction you will need to state your logic relative to why you chose the X variables and demonstrate their linear relationships with the revenue variable (Y).  Support this logic with scatter plots and a correlation matrix.  Then you should discuss the characteristics of the Y data — T, C or S that you have in the Y variable along with basic statistics.

The introduction should be followed by a section for each of the forecast methods.  You need to have one section each for Exponential Smoothing using the work in Assignment 4, Decomposition using the work in Assignment 5, ARIMA using the work in Assignment 6 and finally a section on Multiple Regression using the work in Assignment 7.  You should change my questions in the assignments to statements that are followed by your answers to make the project easier to follow.  Each section should have discussion of only the best model using the method accompanied by error measures (RMSE and MAPE) for fit and forecast as well as residual analysis for the fit and forecast.  Remember, only show the single best model with each method and do not show model failures.

Finally, you need to write a summary section that includes a table of fit and forecast RMSE and MAPE.  Choose the most accurate method and model in the table (the lowest MAPE and RMSE for the forecast period).  Again, the project is your write up supported by Minitab results to determine the best revenue forecast for your assigned company.

You should have an Appendix with each data series that you used in the project to support your work.  All X variables (excluding dummy variables and counters) should have citations. There is a description in Doc Sharing for the project. You may include an abstract or executive summary at the front of the project before the introduction as well.

Assignment 2: Psychological Constructs Related to Espionage

Often, the manifestations of psychopathology are related to the motivation behind and behavior involved in acts of espionage. In this assignment, you will have the opportunity to explore what specific psychopathologies may be common to these acts. Keep in mind that the presence of a certain psychopathology in one spy is not indicative of its presence in all spies.

Tasks:

Using at least two scholarly resources from the professional literature, research psychopathology related to acts of espionage. The literature may include the Argosy University online library resources; relevant textbooks; peer-reviewed journal articles; and websites created by professional organizations, agencies, or institutions (.edu, .org, or .gov).

Create a 2- to 4-page paper responding to the following:

• Identify at least two psychopathologies that have been correlated to acts of espionage, treason, or disloyalty.
• Describe the psychopathologies you researched related to acts of espionage and explain how these psychopathologies can motivate one to spy, in your own words.

Give reasons in support of your responses.

Submission Details:

• By Wednesday, July 30, 2014, save your paper as M2_A2_Lastname_Firstname.doc and submit it to the M2 Assignment 2 Dropbox.

Math 533 Course project

Water is an essential element of life on earth. A human being can survive for only about one week without water. As the global population expands and increasing industrialization creates ever-growing demands for water, supply of this vital commodity has become endangered. Just as water, clean air is an essential element for the survival of life on earth. Air that is polluted can endanger our health and cause damage to trees, wildlife, and property.

Using the South University Online Library or the Internet, research on the topic, “Various Health Hazards Caused by Water and Air Pollution.”

Based on your understanding, create a 3- to 4-page Microsoft Word document that includes the answers to the following questions:

• What are the hazardous substances that may be found in drinking water and what are their impacts on our health?
• Describe how water is made safe for human consumption.
• Epidemiologic analyses have demonstrated a correlation between an increase in total daily mortality and an increase in air pollution. Provide examples to explain how historically significant fatal air pollution episodes (that were characterized by extreme increases in air pollution) lead to increase in mortality.
• Describe how greenhouse gases contribute to the greenhouse effect.
• Explain the term “global warming” and present arguments in favor of and against the proposition that global warming has occurred during the past century. What environmental outcomes have been attributed to global warming?

Support your responses with reasoning and examples.